Interview Brad Johnson Feb 10 the Chinese economy and the flu 8 months ago Brad Johnson Brad Johnson it is February the 10th of 00:03 2020 the Wu hen flu is still the main 00:08 item in the news pretty much everywhere 00:10 there was a great question from a reader 00:13 at Vlad about what the economic fallout 00:16 of this could be have you got any 00:18 insight into that yeah I 00:21 and it was an excellent question very 00:23 insightful and I appreciate it and my 00:25 previous discussion of what was going on 00:28 in China my focus was probably you know 00:30 far more leaning towards the political 00:33 aspects of this versus the economic 00:35 although I did kind of mention both so 00:37 kind of to clarify on that and and this 00:39 is one of the points that your reader 00:41 brought out is that with and the numbers 00:44 we’ve discussed are 85% infection rate 00:47 and 15% kill rate maybe 15 to 20 00:50 somewhere in there so and we don’t have 00:53 from numbers that have come out yet on 00:55 this one little point on that there’s 00:59 news that broke early this morning it’s 01:00 coming out of Taipei and London both 01:02 that there’s they found in wins where 01:06 they annales analyze what’s going on 01:07 there that there’s a very high 01:08 concentration of Karpis carbon sulfate 01:14 which is a byproduct of cremation and 01:17 they’re saying that this this would be 01:19 an indicator not proof but an indicator 01:22 that there’s massive cremations taking 01:24 place centered on no other place than 01:27 Wuhan China which is the origin of this 01:29 flu so if that’s true of course we’ve 01:32 always speculated that the Chinese are 01:35 vastly under understating the true 01:38 number of people killed and they’re 01:40 saying today in the news 900 which 01:41 probably you know if this is true with 01:45 the cremation and all of that 01:46 adding the 0 at the end which is the 01:48 formula I always use 9,000 is probably 01:50 much closer to the truth okay now for 01:53 the economic things one of the things 01:54 that your reader pointed out as I said 01:56 was the the economic impact absolutely 01:59 true if there is indeed an 85 percent 02:01 infection rate all those people are 02:03 knocked out the economy of China will be 02:06 brought to its knees in the earlier 02:08 report where I was discussing this my 02:10 point out 02:11 of this was that it had not spread and 02:14 wasn’t completely covering blanketing 02:17 China and and beyond the borders he was 02:19 still concentrated in a very small area 02:22 however the Chinese and the American 02:25 counterparts had already discussed the 02:27 fact that they weren’t going to be able 02:29 to hold up their end of the trade 02:31 agreements that had been made although 02:34 the Chinese did immediately come out and 02:35 reduce some tariffs and things like that 02:37 but their agricultural purchases and 02:40 things of that nature weren’t going to 02:41 go forward my point out of that was that 02:44 it was so early in the process and the 02:46 numbers that the Chinese were reporting 02:48 were so low that these you know there 02:50 were 300 deaths at that time Anna and a 02:53 couple thousand infected I mean 300 02:55 thousand a couple thousand infected is 02:57 so small that it could not possibly have 02:59 that impact so the point being why would 03:02 the Chinese have come over to the 03:03 Americans and say hey this flu thing is 03:05 serious we’re 300 deaths and and and two 03:09 or three thousand infected is not 03:11 serious so that means it’s just another 03:14 indicator of the depth of the 03:15 seriousness of this that’s truly going 03:17 on behind the scenes versus what the 03:19 Chinese are publicly mentioning which 03:22 again also the present economic advisor 03:25 and the Secretary of Agriculture both 03:27 saying you know publicly that that that 03:31 the this is not going to be able to go 03:33 forward at the greed upon levels on the 03:35 economic levels that’s tacit 03:38 acknowledgement that the United States 03:40 recognizes that the true depth of the 03:42 problem in China is much larger 03:44 otherwise you know like I say a couple 03:46 thousand in fact it just isn’t big 03:48 enough to have that overall economic 03:50 impact now as I said the point of view 03:52 of your reader that was you know dead-on 03:55 is that if indeed this spreads which it 03:57 looks like it’s going to be very 03:58 difficult to contain with that infection 04:01 rate if it goes forward that way it’s 04:04 going to be a disaster I mean if it goes 04:06 China wide I mean there will be people 04:09 as the Ring goes out there’ll be new 04:10 infections and at the center there’ll be 04:12 the ones that are getting over it 04:14 apparently it’s about a two-week period 04:15 of time to recover or die from the flu 04:18 so that it’ll be two rings moving 04:21 outward together but behind 04:24 they’ll just be though at a 15 or 20 04:27 percent death rate I mean that’s just 04:29 disastrous and there’ll be key people 04:32 that will be killed now it does 04:33 concentrate all the reports show that it 04:35 does concentrate which is consistent 04:37 with historical events of this nature 04:39 that’s the old and the young the weak 04:41 that are going to be the most 04:42 susceptible to dying over but 04:44 nevertheless people being pulled out of 04:46 the workforce for a couple weeks in 04:47 masses is will be massively destructive 04:50 damaging to the Chinese economy so it’s 04:53 it’s it’s absolutely something that will 04:56 be bad on the political level which is 04:59 kind of where I concentrate normally one 05:02 of my other points was on this I the 05:04 Chinese government the people that are 05:06 in power are going to have everything 05:08 they need the high military people the 05:10 high political Communist Party people 05:12 they’re not probably going to be 05:14 susceptible to this and part of the 05:16 point out of this that I wanted to make 05:18 last time and I want to clarify now is 05:20 they don’t care how many people die in a 05:23 communist system and this is something 05:25 most in the West we don’t really 05:27 recognize readily but in the communist 05:29 system you as an individual aren’t 05:32 important you belong to the party if the 05:35 party says it’s time for you to die you 05:37 die this is this is the Communist Party 05:39 of Chairman Mao and Chairman Mao if 05:42 everyone recalls was the guy that killed 05:45 millions of Chinese by he had this 05:48 campaign which is to melt down pots and 05:50 pans and make steel because they need to 05:52 march into the future and become more 05:55 industrial and what happened was 05:57 nationwide everyone got into this 05:59 meltdown the pots and make steel thing 06:01 and they were all doing that and not 06:04 harvesting the food so when the harvest 06:06 didn’t take place a lot of people start 06:09 to death and at the end of all that 06:10 Chairman Mao famously said well okay 06:12 yeah a lot of people died but we learned 06:14 in his skill so we’re marching forward 06:16 and that’s just how the Chinese view it 06:19 I mean it’s sort of their perspective 06:21 but also this is tenfold greater that 06:24 way because of the fact that it’s the 06:26 Communist Party they just don’t care so 06:28 they may look at this as a reduction in 06:31 population is something they’ve been 06:33 after for a long time and then also as a 06:36 means to establish even 06:38 or control within society and move into 06:40 areas that they haven’t controlled 06:41 completely so that was that was the two 06:44 halves of it so like I said this is 06:46 going to be a disaster one way or 06:48 another never let a crisis go to waste I 06:51 think that seems exactly right 06:53 thank you very much Brad Johnson Click for entire transcript Continue Reading Previous Details on New ISIS leader and more by Barry Webb.Next Brad Johnson Trump administration changes 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