Update on John Brennan FISA investigation

Press is reporting John Brennan is soon to be scheduled to meet with AG Barr. Could we be reaching the indictment stage finally? Scott Johnston, a regular viewer and commenter requested this update from Brad, so here it is for you, Scott, and all other viewers.

Brad Johnson is a retired Senior CIA Officer and Chief of Station who now devotes his life to his non-profit Americans for Intelligence Reform. We invite you to subscribe and support us and welcome your comments.


brad johnson august the 5th of 2020
00:03
we have done a couple of segments about
00:06
the peculiar proxy war
00:10
that appears to be taking place between
00:13
a
00:14
sort of turkish backed azerbaijan
00:16
against a russian-backed
00:19
armenia what are the developments last i
00:23
heard azerbaijan was threatening
00:25
to bomb nuclear power plants in armenia
00:27
which
00:28
strikes me as a pretty harsh thing to do
00:32
yeah they’re they’re looking for
00:33
weaknesses and that’s that’s a huge
00:35
both strategic and economic uh
00:39
target and uh of course it’s a nuclear
00:42
power plant that’s
00:44
that presents other dangers as well by
00:46
bombing that i don’t know what
00:47
particular type it is but
00:49
it’s probably the russian uh russian
00:51
style
00:52
nuclear power plant which are far more
00:54
susceptible to being
00:55
you know dirty if if destroyed so it
00:58
would present a danger and
01:00
that’s the source of almost not all but
01:03
of the vast majority of
01:05
the electricity in armenia so it is
01:08
it would be you know do a great deal of
01:10
damage so
01:11
that’s posturing so far i don’t know
01:13
however on that score
01:15
this as what we talked about last time
01:17
was that there now uh
01:18
turkey and azerbaijan on the one side
01:21
are doing military exercises and those
01:23
military exercises are going from
01:26
baku the capital of azerbaijan right up
01:28
to the border of
01:29
this area that’s known as
01:31
nagorno-karabakh the disputed
01:33
region now what has happened here as
01:36
as we did mentioned before russia has a
01:39
base in
01:40
armenia and at that base they do have
01:42
aircraft i don’t know the full
01:44
array of aircraft that are available to
01:46
the armenians or by
01:48
by use of the russians to support
01:50
armenia but so far there’s been
01:53
quite a few little battles i mean it’s
01:54
almost an everyday thing where they’re
01:56
shooting back and forth and back and
01:58
forth at each other sometimes it grows
02:00
to be a little bit bigger of a of a
02:03
battle where they’re using
02:04
artillery and things like that but for
02:06
the most part it’s standoff of
02:08
of that thing shooting at each other
02:10
over a distance artillery and those
02:12
sorts of things
02:13
however now turkey has just brought uh
02:16
aircraft
02:17
fighter jets f-16 which
02:20
is not their best aircraft but it’s
02:22
still a good aircraft
02:23
uh into azerbaijan as part of these
02:26
exercises
02:27
oddly enough i mean this um azerbaijan
02:31
has a russian
02:32
fleet of aircraft too and they’re
02:33
looking at
02:35
updating some some aircraft buying it
02:38
from russia
02:39
and yet so now they’d be in a position
02:41
where these russian aircraft and armenia
02:43
would be possibly uh squaring off
02:45
against azerbaijani
02:48
russian aircraft uh probably the russian
02:50
pilots would be superior having more
02:52
time in the air with these sorts of
02:53
things but don’t know
02:54
uh at any rate the the important fact
02:56
here now is this has again
02:58
gone up another level because of these
03:00
exercises that are taking place
03:02
and the particularly the fighter jets
03:04
that turkey has brought into the area
03:07
uh it’s not a thing of whether conflict
03:10
will take place or not
03:12
or even really win because conflict is
03:14
taking place now
03:15
every day and so it’s just a question of
03:19
how big will it grow and now you’ve got
03:21
the belligerents facing off against each
03:24
other with armenian
03:25
azerbaijan and then now they’re backed
03:27
by turkey and
03:28
russia uh respectively and it’s kind of
03:31
an interesting
03:32
thing how this is going to play out and
03:33
i will say
03:35
these reports with the updates on turkey
03:37
and azerbaijan get a lot of
03:39
uh interesting comments on it on youtube
03:42
and the different sites that this goes
03:43
out on
03:44
and a lot of argument back and forth on
03:46
who uh owned
03:48
the territory there of nagorno-karabakh
03:50
first
03:51
and of course the armenians say armenia
03:53
did and the turks say the turks did and
03:55
so on but
03:56
i think that is a the perfect reflection
03:59
of how this just
04:00
is not going to be settled uh
04:01
diplomatically or peacefully this i
04:04
this is one of those places where it’s
04:05
going to be a limited regional thing
04:07
but i think there’s zero question that
04:08
this is going to uh ex
04:11
expand into a wider conflict where our
04:14
armenia and azerbaijan are
04:16
are essentially at war now how it goes
04:18
which way i mean
04:20
so difficult to predict based on
04:22
leadership and equipment at the time and
04:23
all of that but
04:24
i think this is going to go to conflict
04:26
and i think nagorno-kor carl baugh is
04:28
going to be an
04:29
absolute war zone and i wouldn’t be
04:31
surprised if that doesn’t happen fairly
04:33
quickly so
04:34
that’s the update keep an eye on it it
04:36
is a it is a hot spot in the world
04:38
where it’s probably again regional
04:41
doesn’t have that much impact on
04:42
most of the west at least immediately if
04:45
it doesn’t go much beyond where it’s
04:47
where it looks like it’s going to head
04:48
now just being regional
04:49
uh but war of the world’s not good for
04:51
anybody and i think that’s what’s
04:53
that’s probably one of the foremost
04:55
places that i think can turn really hot
04:57
in the short term you know i have a
05:00
really hard time thinking that the
05:02
russians
05:03
would sell aircraft to azerbaijan
05:07
with the capability of matching their
05:09
own
05:10
i would like to think that also even the
05:12
americans when they’re selling certain
05:13
nato partners
05:16
aircraft that they they’re limited in
05:18
some way so that they can’t
05:20
i i would imagine that that’d be the
05:21
case wouldn’t you
05:24
you know it’s a funny world excuse me in
05:26
in those ways and of course
05:28
the russians are always looking to make
05:30
money and azerbaijan has oil so i’m sure
05:32
they’ve got the hard currency to
05:34
pay for these sorts of things so i think
05:36
the russians are thinking about you know
05:38
money and there are differences pilots
05:42
mean everything in an aircraft if you’re
05:43
fighting the same two aircraft against
05:45
each other
05:46
precisely the same two aircraft uh and
05:49
one set of pilots is experienced and
05:50
well trained and all that they’re going
05:52
to win every time
05:53
but there are also equipment packages
05:54
that go in these aircraft and
05:56
they’re probably i don’t know this but i
05:59
wouldn’t think they would sell
06:00
necessarily
06:01
their frontline equipment package on
06:04
aircraft to a place like azerbaijan
06:06
azerbaijan doesn’t need that level which
06:10
is a lot more expensive
06:11
so probably even if the same aircraft
06:13
were flying against each other the
06:15
russians would have every advantage
06:16
better pilots better trained pilots and
06:18
also better equipment packages
06:20
in those aircraft to take out the
06:22
azerbaijani versions so
06:24
i i don’t think it would be realistic
06:26
for azerbaijan to go
06:28
toe-to-toe without turkey’s backing then
06:30
it would be a different thing
06:31
turkey i think they’ve got some good
06:33
pilots as well so it’d be
06:35
it would be a far more dangerous
06:38
war in the sense of being able to expand
06:40
if turkey and russia
06:41
both are directly involved which they
06:43
appear to be
06:44
now so uh we’ll see
06:47
it’s a dangerous area
07:02
[Music]
07:13
you
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