Americans for Intelligence Reform

Brad Johnson, President, and retired CIA Senior Officer and Chief of Staff. Insight into current events from an intelligence angle.

Latest details on Wuhan virus to be smuggled out of C

https://youtu.be/2K9lr8KkmhA
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so Brad Johnson this is February 6 2020
00:04
and like I should say at the outset the
00:06
reason I’m calling this the Wu hen flu
00:08
besides the fact that it’s somewhat
00:10
euphonious it’s because coronavirus is
00:13
the basis for every flu so I just
00:15
decided that it’s not that meaningful to
00:17
call it that
00:19
although novel Karina’s novel corona and
00:22
19 or whatever they’re calling it it’s a
00:24
little technical the Wu hen flu I think
00:25
is pretty clear and it’s euphonious
00:27
there there seems to be I mean there
00:30
seems to be some data coming out that
00:32
might be not the kind of hysterical
00:36
panicky stuff that’s been passed around
00:38
Twitter but also doesn’t appear to be
00:40
the grotesque under estimates by the
00:42
Chinese government possibly in part
00:45
thanks to the fact that the virus is now
00:47
populating itself in both India and in
00:50
Singapore and very sadly Vietnam because
00:53
I doubt that they have the facilities to
00:54
handle it there but these numbers that I
00:57
saw actually reflect our discussion
01:00
about this the other day what have you
01:01
got for us today
01:02
yeah I’d say three different areas of
01:04
update to this and it’s and this is our
01:07
basically third installment on following
01:09
up on the MU Han flu will use your name
01:12
that you like and not a number of these
01:16
things were fairly easily easy to
01:18
predict I would say just like I said
01:20
this is stuff I’ve looked at for decades
01:22
so and I commented in the previous two
01:25
interviews that you can basically take
01:26
whatever the Chinese are saying assume
01:29
they’re lying and probably be correct
01:31
and if you for something like this where
01:33
it’s negative if you add a zero and
01:35
you’re probably going to be a lot closer
01:37
to the truth than whatever they’re
01:38
reporting and now what’s happened is is
01:41
there was some reporting out of a
01:43
epidemic situation tracker that the
01:45
Chinese are putting out and three times
01:48
now that has pumped in information where
01:51
those numbers are much much higher and
01:53
then after a couple of minute or an hour
01:56
or something like that it disappears
01:58
back out now there’s speculation as to
02:00
that somebody behind the scenes trying
02:01
to pump out the real information or is
02:03
it like a technical glitch where it’s
02:05
automatically fed into the system
02:06
automatically updates and is populating
02:10
the reports that are in the
02:12
this epidemic tracker you know like I
02:16
said is it somebody doing it on purpose
02:17
so you know who knows who cares but the
02:20
coming out of that are very very
02:22
interesting now this is as of January 26
02:25
so it’s late it’s dated information all
02:26
this takes time to sort of pump through
02:28
the system and get out to the West so
02:31
that’s why we’re seeing something where
02:32
it’s the information is you know we can
02:34
have 10 days old something along those
02:36
lines so at that point when this these
02:40
bigger numbers got pumped into the
02:42
system what I find very interesting out
02:44
of all of this is first of all the
02:47
numbers that that were reported was just
02:49
over one hundred and fifty four thousand
02:51
people being infected which was indeed
02:53
right just over ten times the number
02:56
that the Chinese were reporting so the
02:58
aDNA zero at the end theory that I’ve
03:00
been suggesting has was was this is
03:03
solid evidence that there’s good reason
03:05
for that
03:06
also the number of suspected cases at
03:08
seventy nine thousand which is four
03:10
times the official rate but those
03:12
numbers are are depressed for a number
03:15
of things which kind of brings us to the
03:16
second area of that and that is that the
03:20
Chinese whether on purpose or by
03:22
accident or just caught behind the power
03:24
curve don’t fish it test case so
03:28
basically it’s a swab and they take a
03:30
look at it you have results very quickly
03:32
at least here in the United States I’m
03:34
assuming they’re using something similar
03:35
there so you know within minutes just
03:37
what you have flew wise what version of
03:40
it and so on so they don’t have enough
03:42
of those test kits so I wouldn’t be
03:44
surprised if even at four times what the
03:46
official reporting is that it’s actually
03:48
closer to that ten figure but it’s
03:50
suppressed numbers because of those test
03:52
kits now here’s the one other
03:55
interesting asset aspect out of this
03:57
that lends itself to to being factual
04:00
the way that that the figure being ten
04:02
times higher is that the University of
04:04
Hong Kong did a study and they did based
04:08
on spread rates and percentages how fast
04:10
it it it can spread and what the travel
04:13
patterns are in China and all of those
04:15
things and they came up with a figure
04:17
that based on just an estimate
04:21
the suspected cases for that date as of
04:25
January 26 should be around 75,000 and
04:29
the figure that came out on this as I
04:31
mentioned was seventy nine thousand and
04:33
the Chinese were you know making it a
04:35
much smaller figure so based on
04:37
scientific estimates of spread rates and
04:41
movement of population and all of that
04:43
these figures that are ten times higher
04:45
or four times higher all look like
04:47
they’re true so pretty solid information
04:50
starting to come out that that’s that
04:52
those numbers are have been manipulated
04:54
by the Chinese not that there was a lot
04:56
of doubt about it but here’s the real
04:57
kicker officially at that point the
05:00
Chinese had reported 300 dead these
05:03
leaked number mistakes whatever they may
05:06
have been but it appears to be least
05:08
actual figures or mistakenly added to
05:12
the system as what we’re talking about
05:13
earlier had the deaths at that point at
05:16
over 24,000 where they were reporting
05:18
something along the lines of 300 so I
05:21
think these are the accurate numbers and
05:24
part of the reason is as these things
05:25
get leaked out in these videos that
05:27
we’re seeing the Chinese are coming in
05:29
and being very heavy-handed and being
05:30
communist they’re not going to ever let
05:32
a crisis go to waste
05:34
as often kicked around as an old old
05:36
saying and so they’re coming in very
05:40
heavy-handed and the authorities are
05:41
coming in and as we talked about in the
05:43
last update on this I think that’s
05:45
something that we’re going to see is
05:46
this spreads into Hong Kong in
05:48
particular and any other areas where
05:50
they don’t have full control I think
05:52
they’re going to use this as an excuse
05:54
also to consolidate absolute power in
05:56
these areas which they have not been
05:58
able to do with all the riots in Hong
06:00
Kong which as we’ve noted last time
06:01
those riots have all stopped so I think
06:04
that’s where they’re headed with all of
06:06
this and this manipulation of numbers is
06:08
eventually going to have to be corrected
06:10
out so that they have this public excuse
06:12
to move in and the heavy-handed fashion
06:14
that they’re going to and the reach that
06:16
they’re going to do you do to take
06:19
additional control of these areas is
06:21
going to far exceed what’s needed for
06:23
the medical conditions up with this with
06:25
this virus spread and some of the things
06:28
are doing that doesn’t get reported in
06:29
the United States at all they’ve got
06:32
this system in China now
06:34
where there are millions of cameras set
06:37
up that are watching all the people
06:38
full-face recompressing recognition and
06:41
all sorts of control aspects built into
06:44
this and it’s China wide and it has
06:46
spread even into been installed and even
06:49
small villages out in the countryside
06:50
and they now have a scoring system where
06:53
the Chinese citizens are scored by their
06:55
behavior and if you get a higher score
06:58
you know you’re more trustworthy and
06:59
access to other jobs or whatever access
07:02
to purchase things you need and if
07:05
you’re lower scored on the system you
07:07
start getting barred from all of these
07:09
things so it is an absolute method of
07:12
control but that has not extended into
07:14
all of these areas but I think that’s
07:15
one of the very first things you’ll see
07:17
then you start to install these cameras
07:19
as this this sort of control there’s I
07:21
forget the actual figure it’s floating
07:23
around out there but it’s certainly in
07:25
the tens of millions of these cameras
07:26
and the supporting system face
07:28
recognition programs all of that stuff
07:30
is already in place up and being used
07:32
and it’s just an absolute form of
07:34
control that were that we’re seeing out
07:36
of China so I think that’s where this is
07:38
headed and some of the other things that
07:41
are starting to get leaked out is that
07:43
that because they don’t have test kits
07:46
the numbers as I mentioned are
07:47
underreported for the total number of
07:49
people have infected the number of
07:51
deaths what they’re doing is marked that
07:53
doctors are being forced by the Chinese
07:55
authorities to mark cause of death to
07:57
something else there’s been dozens of
07:59
reports by people leaking stuff out
08:02
saying that that’s true it’s not one or
08:04
two people now we’re starting to see
08:05
dozens and scores of these types of
08:08
reports leak out of China and I don’t
08:10
know if anyone’s interested in following
08:11
it the the source for a lot of this
08:13
stuff is Taiwan and so Taiwan is picking
08:15
up all of this stuff and they’re very
08:17
worried about trying to keep this in
08:19
because Taiwan is probably the number
08:21
one target of the Chinese you know to be
08:24
conquered again if you will so they’re
08:26
very worried about how well this is
08:28
going to play out watching it very
08:29
closely so they’re an excellent source
08:30
to kind of keep your finger on the pulse
08:32
of what seems to be really happening out
08:34
there in China but yeah it’s it’s a mess
08:36
they’re lying on it they’re manipulating
08:39
it and they’re gonna use it absolutely
08:41
at least in my opinion now to extend
08:45
their control and they’ve got all the
08:46
methods saying
08:47
eat already there like I said the
08:49
cameras and other things that are
08:50
economic controls that they have over
08:52
the population they’re going to
08:53
implement all of this stuff when they
08:55
move in for the medical excuses that
08:58
they’ll have based on this flu so you
08:59
can expect those numbers of theirs to
09:01
start to grow as this expands not that
09:04
they’ll ever tell the truth completely
09:05
but enough to excuse what they really
09:07
want to do which is go ahead and
09:09
business crisis to go ahead can take
09:11
control of areas that have been fighting
09:14
them and I’m sure they would love to see
09:16
this spread to Taiwan where they in you
09:19
know for Brotherhood reasons a good of
09:22
all mankind they can sweep in and help
09:24
the medical situations I want but taking
09:27
absolute control so I think they would
09:30
love to see this play out that way we’ll
09:32
see how it goes pretty sure that we will
09:35
be able to test that theory because if
09:37
China would love to see it spread to
09:39
Taiwan they will spread it to Taiwan yes
09:41
great it’s not that it’s they would not
09:44
leave something like that up to chance
09:45
although they appear to leave the
09:48
isolation of the virus itself somewhat
09:50
up to chance and I’d like to just
09:52
actually use this opportunity to leave
09:55
an open-ended question which would be
09:57
for any scientist that actually has a
10:00
background a biologist or doctor in
10:03
viral adji because it seems to me that
10:05
given the new mortality rate which looks
10:08
like it’s between 15 and 20% I forgot
10:10
about that but but right okay so given
10:14
the new mortality rate figures which
10:16
look to be accurately between 15 and 20%
10:18
which is you know Eboli believe is 50 so
10:22
Ebola doesn’t really present that much
10:25
of a threat because it burns itself out
10:27
so quickly in populations and it’s it
10:31
doesn’t spread even despite the fact
10:33
that African tribes in that region have
10:35
customs like touching the body of the
10:37
dead which can’t be stopped or robbing
10:41
corpses and so on and so on which would
10:43
really spread that disease it doesn’t
10:46
the disease usually doesn’t get that far
10:48
out of hand because it’s so virulent and
10:50
it kills so quickly it doesn’t get the
10:52
chance to spread this disease so looks
10:54
like it’s contagious for two weeks
10:57
before symptoms even appear on the
10:59
carrier
10:59
and with a mortality rate of 15 to 20
11:02
percent and I don’t even know how to
11:04
graph the increased contagiousness of
11:08
this one the absolute number of people
11:11
who may die from it could be staggering
11:13
yes and the University of Hong Kong in
11:16
their their reports they’re following
11:18
those sorts of things and I are trying
11:20
to graph it out and they’re you know
11:22
solid academic sort of look at this it’s
11:26
not there nobody’s of the Communist
11:28
Chinese so you’re they’re probably the
11:31
most accurate source for for what you’re
11:33
suggesting there and I’ll also say is
11:37
this plays forward and these things that
11:38
I’ve been predicting you know continue
11:41
to be confirmed as we see this play
11:42
forward I I look at this as overall just
11:47
absolute 100% confirmation of what I’ve
11:50
been saying for a very long time now and
11:52
that is that the Chinese the Communist
11:54
Chinese represent the single largest
11:56
long-term threat to United States and
11:59
Western national security they are the
12:02
main threat out of this and our head and
12:05
shoulders of a as a threat above all the
12:08
other threats now there’s obviously more
12:10
but they’re the the 600-pound gorilla in
12:13
the room compared to the other guys
12:15
because they’re clear goal is to expand
12:18
and conquer other areas around them
12:20
there’s no question they are almost
12:23
certainly going to reconquer completely
12:25
Hong Kong Taiwan is on the list the even
12:28
southern South Pacific all the way down
12:31
South China Sea South Pacific all the
12:33
way down to Australia they’re very
12:35
aggressive and really trying hard to
12:37
expand I mean building our islands and
12:39
militarizing them in the South China Sea
12:41
all these sorts of things they are the
12:43
long-term strategic threat and to the
12:47
west to the United States and the West
12:48
so I think they’re going to use this to
12:51
the full extent that they can and just
12:53
as one again solid evidence and proof of
12:55
just the danger that they represent and
12:59
I would add one last little thing that
13:00
that was the that I wanted to get to and
13:03
that is we’ve seen the Secretary of
13:06
Agriculture and and the president’s
13:11
economic advisor come out and
13:12
comments that that China’s not going to
13:16
be able to fulfill its trade agreements
13:19
I find that very interesting in the
13:21
timing is interesting this is all taking
13:23
place in the last three three days now
13:25
if you take China two figures at face
13:28
value and they’re saying well we’ve only
13:30
got 300 300 dead in a country China is
13:32
nothing I mean that’s just insignificant
13:34
statistically you know people are
13:38
dieting much higher rates for all sorts
13:40
of other reasons than 300 people over up
13:43
whatever defenses this virus has come
13:45
out over the last bumper to that’s fully
13:47
insignificant number and also the
13:48
numbers that they’re reporting of people
13:50
infected a few thousand and all of that
13:52
it’s just so minor in the skin things if
13:55
you were to take those at face value why
13:58
would you conclude that these trade
14:01
agreements aren’t going to be fulfilled
14:02
so I find that a very interesting
14:04
disconnect that the US government and
14:07
and Larry Kudlow is the economic advisor
14:10
and the Secretary of Agriculture the two
14:13
people that have come out and said you
14:14
know yeah they’re not going to be able
14:16
to fulfill their purchases nor their
14:17
their agreement to open their market and
14:19
these sorts of things so that timing is
14:23
God so clearly behind the scenes more is
14:28
going on I don’t know exactly what but
14:30
it’s a fair indicator that when you’re
14:32
having especially Larry Kudlow but also
14:34
Secretary of Agriculture you know these
14:36
guys are are know this stuff and they’re
14:39
already saying China’s not going to
14:40
fulfill this agreement why why would
14:43
they be coming out why would they be
14:44
coming out now but yet they acknowledge
14:47
that this is having this impact on the
14:49
chaney economy to the degree that they
14:52
can’t do agricultural purchases with if
14:55
it’s only 300 dead and a few thousand
14:57
infected a few tens of thousand or ten
14:59
thousand infected something these the
15:01
official numbers flexo it’s it’s
15:03
interesting timing i i’m we can see how
15:06
this plays out and why the US government
15:09
now not the president not the white
15:10
house but these other people are
15:12
starting to say these numbers are not
15:15
going to be fulfilled by the chinese so
15:17
interesting aspect of it certainly is an
15:19
even if i give them the benefit of the
15:21
doubt it doesn’t make sense because
15:23
you’d think they’d want to outsource as
15:25
much food
15:25
as they could given that moving goods
15:28
around in China is clearly the worst
15:31
possible thing they could do Brad
15:32
Johnson thank you so much great update
15:34
this is again February the six 2020

 

 
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