https://youtu.be/bR2hpLVWKFk
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Brad Johnson it is February 12th 5:20
00:04
yes yeah just always like to check that
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February the 12th of 2020 and I saw you
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know thanks to my amazing readers at
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flyed tempest who send me in just a
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tremendous amount of really important
00:18
news articles and and so on so on from
00:21
ranging from the geopolitical to the
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effects of Islam in the West and of
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course communism on the west and this
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this was a memory clip I think it’s
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there too one specifically threatening
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it looked like he was saying that he
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will accept any excuse to wage all-out
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war I mean it was like any tyrant he
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wasn’t saying directly I’m gonna go to
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war against Syria in totality he’s
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saying if Syria does anything to stop me
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from waging war on Syria then I will
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consider it a casus belli to wage total
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war on Syria least that’s how I read it
00:55
please tell me how you read it yeah an
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interesting situation interesting
01:00
development I mean just let me lay the
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groundwork for it first basically you’ve
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you’ve got Syria the say northern third
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or maybe quarter somewhere there was is
01:11
traditionally been where the Kurds have
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been and that’s where the United States
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was previously active before our
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withdrawal now that is all in the
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northern part of Syria
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which to the north of Syria is turkey so
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it abuts Turkey on the other side where
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the Kurds are then you have the area
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around Aleppo which is to the north and
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west in in Syria and that’s what’s been
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fought over refugees know that that’s
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still being fought over and Syrian
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troops that are you know Assad Syrian
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troops are moving back into that area
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and there’s so there’s a lot of fighting
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going on and there’s a bunch of groups
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that are active in that area so it’s not
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like clear one side against the other
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sort of conflict so there’s a lot of
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fighting and the in the in the Kurdish
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area which is in the the north from the
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central part all the way out to the
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eastern part of of Syria that curtisha’s
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zone that’s where the Turks did a 30
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mile bang
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along the Turkish border so they’ve
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they’ve they’ve gone into Syria to
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control that land now they are saying
02:20
that their justification for that is
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because they’ve got I don’t know how
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many of they’re saying now but millions
02:26
of Syrian refugees that are which is
02:29
almost certainly exaggerated whatever
02:31
the number is that are in Turkey hiding
02:34
out so they want to take control of that
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area so that they can bring the Syrians
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back in now that’s the Turkish position
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the point of conflict now which air to
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gun is talking about in his speech which
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two things on that one a lot of what
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he’s saying is for domestic consumption
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he wants to be the strong man and Pro
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Turkey and all of these sorts of things
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so it is being played for domestic
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consumption also though however he does
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believe all of that he wants to
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reinstate the Ottoman Empire and so he’s
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trying to expand his borders and areas
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of influence in every way he can very
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active in a number of areas so having
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this strip of Syria is a great interim
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step into taking far greater control of
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that area and it allows him to use that
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area fill it with what he’s done is a
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lot of former Isis fighters and people
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like that who want to come in and kill
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Kurds so he’s achieving multiple things
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out of this by doing that now the stance
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he’s just taken the hard light stance
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he’s just taken is that if anyone
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attacks any of the observation posts the
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Turkish militaries has put up in that
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area
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if anyone attacks anything like that
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they’re going to take that as an attack
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on Turkey and respond in kind that’s
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essentially the statement that he made
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so as the Syrian troops move in that is
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the potential conflict now an
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interesting aspect of all of this now of
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course everybody points out Turkey’s
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part of NATO Syria is not now of course
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Syria is heavily backed by Russia
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Russian troops are in there supporting
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the Syrian army and Russian mercenaries
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are in you know lending strength to the
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Syrian troops so it’s it’s turning into
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a very interesting conflict in that way
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so they’re moving back in and of course
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their goal is to take back all of Syria
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into Syria
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the Turks have claimed this land and
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their this 30-mile strip along the
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border which is as I said it’s
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essentially in the Kurdish areas of
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Syria they’re not gonna they’re not
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going to give it up and because that is
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all part of his his long term goal or
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heir to Ghana and turkeys long term goal
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so it’s it’s it’s shaping up into a
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difficult difficult interesting conflict
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what will happen if Syrian troops on
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Syrian land get into conflict with
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Turkish troops who are occupying a
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portion of Syria and I don’t believe you
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know of course I don’t know the ins and
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outs of the legal system for NATO but I
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don’t believe that would invoke the
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protections under NATO where they’re
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being attacked and therefore the NATO
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countries would come to their aid I
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don’t believe it does because it’s an
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occupying force in a foreign country and
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I don’t think that’s really covered by
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this agreement so I mean I’m not sure
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that a precise one for one thing like
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this has ever happened before so it
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hasn’t been tested but that’s where we
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find ourselves right now now Aragon is
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not gonna back down but I don’t think
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Russian back troops back Syrian backed
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by Russian troops are gonna back down
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either so I think the possibility of
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conflict is really going up quickly and
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of course the Turks have put these
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observation points out in areas that are
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contested so them not being fired upon
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would probably be a fairly low
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percentage shot I think I think that’s
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almost certainly going to happen so and
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you will see the Turks they’ve already
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been moving troops and mechanized units
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up to the to this area up along the
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border and into serious so they’re
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preparing for this to turn into a
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conflict Turkey and Russia have long
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been at each other’s throats in the FATA
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a cup two or three wars in history and
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so they’re perfectly willing to fight
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each other they don’t like each other
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and so I can see where this is easily
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going to turn into a shooting war right
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now at least
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other than who’s already there I don’t
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see this widening that much bringing in
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a lot of other players president Trump’s
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position on this has been these guys
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have had a long simmering conflict let
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them fight it out settle it among
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themselves and there’s really no
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percentage in this for
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you know who if we help somebody or get
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involved you know how do we win by doing
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that that’s basically his position the
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only little area where he’s kind of
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softened on that is he is still trying
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to send aid in to the Kurds in this area
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who have been longtime friends and
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allies of the United States and done
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quite a bit quite a few things jointly
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with us taking out Isis that sort of
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stuff fighting alongside and faithfully
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well good troops that have fought
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alongside of us so that is the one
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weakness of this whole thing that I hope
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doesn’t get forgotten in the mess but at
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least at this point the Kurds are on the
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side and the main area of conflict is
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the Russians and Syrians on one side and
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Turkey pretty much by itself on the
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other so now there’s militias and
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different people involved but they’re
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the small players the important people
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are Russians and Syrians and the Turks
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so in other words to a degree it is him
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advancing positions and saying I dare
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you to attack this position and then
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moving forward and saying I dare you to
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attack this position yeah there’s there
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some of that going on and I mean these
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positions that he’s saying if you attack
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them or fight back or all in Syria none
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of them are in Turkey nobody’s moving
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into Turkey it’s all in Syria well maybe
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with any luck you’ll kill annoy the
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Russians enough to tell that they’ll
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push them back a little bit that was
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really great thank you very much I think
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that Turkey is one of those stories that
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that goes unwatched and is not people
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don’t recognize the importance because I
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mean historically Turkey is usually a
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world power yes it is and it’s it’s a
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very important thing it’s something I’ve
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talked about quite a little bit but
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written about a lot more I do a lot of
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op eds on what Turkey’s up to and if
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anyone’s interested they well certainly
08:26
they can follow me on Brad Johnson on
08:28
and YouTube or go to my website intel
08:31
reformed org and you can follow and get
08:34
on the the list so you’ll receive the
08:35
letter that we put out and we put a lot
08:37
of information in that including the
08:39
op-eds and different things so Intel
08:41
reformed org or Brad Johnson on YouTube
08:43
highly both highly recommended thank you
08:45
very much for Agilent
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