Americans for Intelligence Reform

Brad Johnson, President, and retired CIA Senior Officer and Chief of Staff. Insight into current events from an intelligence angle.

Brad Johnson on Iowa Caucus and Democratic party

https://youtu.be/UPb8ylPVMK8

 
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this February 4th 2020 with Brad Johnson
00:04
about the peculiar events at the Iowa
00:07
caucus I’m gonna tell you I don’t know
00:09
anything about this procedure rather
00:11
than in every election it seems that
00:13
Iowa’s somehow unusually important I
00:16
don’t know why I also know that what
00:19
happens and I was indicative of things
00:21
to come I don’t understand why this is I
00:25
guess is it just a one party thing or I
00:27
guess it’s just decided that the
00:29
Republican side is filled by Trump
00:30
already but I don’t know what’s going on
00:32
but I definitely know that we were all
00:34
expecting the Democrats to pick somebody
00:37
that was a viable frontrunner for their
00:40
party yesterday and that didn’t happen
00:42
can you explain it especially to us poor
00:45
Canucks that just don’t get it
00:47
sure for my kynect friends from the
00:51
Yankee perspective here basically yes
00:55
the reason I was important is because
00:58
it’s first and that’s that’s really the
01:00
main thing and so it’s the it’s the
01:02
first primary and then we have three
01:05
more of this throughout this this month
01:08
and early next it’s such next it’s New
01:11
Hampshire then Arizona than South
01:13
Carolina and then it’s Super Tuesday
01:15
which is a whole bunch of states have
01:18
their primary on that day so the way
01:20
that it works in Iowa is that it’s a
01:21
caucus state which is odd you don’t
01:23
actually vote so it’s by party so the
01:26
Democrats had a democratic caucus and
01:29
what happens is you all show up at a
01:31
location physically whoever goes to
01:33
these shows up and the caucus word
01:37
refers to them grouping by candidate so
01:40
all those that support Bernie Sanders go
01:42
to one corner of the room and all of
01:44
those that support Pete buta Gedge or
01:48
Biden or whoever they go to that corner
01:51
air section of the room and then they
01:53
listen to what’s going on and make their
01:56
final decision and then they vote by
01:58
being in that group so that was done all
02:01
over the state and the different
02:03
counties which there I believe there are
02:05
99 counties in that state and so it’s
02:08
done on those they total all of the
02:10
votes based on what group you ended up
02:11
with
02:12
to be viable and have your votes counted
02:14
that has to represent at least 15% if
02:17
it’s less than 15% if your group is too
02:20
small like Elizabeth Warren has reported
02:24
now we don’t have the results even yet
02:25
and it’s been almost a you know it’s
02:27
been a back pulling clothes last night
02:29
at 8 o’clock and it’s midday here as we
02:32
do this interview so it’s it’s been
02:34
quite a little while and they still
02:36
don’t have the results but Elizabeth
02:37
Warren is reportedly to have done very
02:39
poorly so some of these places for
02:41
example if you can only put together
02:42
what represents people that would
02:44
represents 10 percent of the vote those
02:46
people had to leave and go someplace
02:47
else
02:47
so there was a lot of shifting around
02:49
and that’s one of the quirks of this of
02:52
this type of system that’s the caucus
02:54
system that’s used in Iowa very very
02:56
sort of odd old-fashioned yet sort of a
03:00
neighborly thing to do to go around and
03:01
get into these discussions and decide
03:03
where your vote goes now so that’s only
03:05
for the Democrats parallel to that the
03:07
Republicans also did one there’s only
03:09
one candidate present Trump but he
03:11
filled the house and that’s not being
03:12
reported in the press very much and
03:14
there were a lot of caucus goers that
03:17
came out to support Trump and there was
03:19
no corner to go to for represent a
03:21
different candidate you just were there
03:23
and by being there represented Trump so
03:26
he won Iowa in the last election and it
03:29
looks like he’s showing a strong
03:31
presence there now and is fairly well
03:33
organized and and had a good showing so
03:36
now out of this Iowa caucus that hasn’t
03:39
come out now everybody said the the
03:42
Democratic the head of the Democratic
03:45
Party for the state of Iowa was out in
03:48
interviews the National Committee for
03:50
the Democrats was out yesterday in
03:52
interviews and they were all saying oh
03:53
now
03:53
yeah we’re completely ready this is
03:55
going to go smooth as silk it’s it’s
03:57
everything is prepared now it has not
03:59
it’s been a complete meltdown they
04:01
haven’t come out with the results yet so
04:03
something is clearly wrong they have
04:06
said they were well-prepared technically
04:07
to handle this so something has gone
04:11
wrong now the Sanders people Bernie
04:13
Sanders is we know last time running
04:15
against Hillary Clinton got screwed and
04:19
a lot of information came out about this
04:21
and Hillary Clinton was getting
04:22
questions in advance of the debate
04:24
and they were moving things manipulating
04:26
things around the National Party
04:28
Democratic Party was manipulating the
04:30
situation to make sure that Bernie
04:32
Sanders did not get the nomination I
04:34
just want to jump in at this point and
04:35
say Bernie Sanders is a lot healthier
04:38
than many other people that have
04:40
interfered with Hillary Clinton’s
04:41
political ambitions yes he’s still still
04:44
kickin although he did have a stroke not
04:46
too long ago so the Sanders people have
04:52
already come out and said our internal
04:54
numbers show we did really well here
04:57
here and here and these are some of the
04:59
biggest districts biggest counties most
05:02
populated counties and so when if we’ve
05:04
done really well there you better not
05:06
come out and be saying you know we only
05:08
got two percent of the voter or
05:10
something like that because we know from
05:12
our own numbers we did well here so we
05:14
better see some accurate figures come
05:16
out and we better get them soon and
05:18
nobody’s seen them yet but we’re
05:20
thinking you know we expect to have won
05:22
this so it’s a it’s an interesting thing
05:25
now doesn’t necessarily mean that this
05:27
was shut down by the Democrats in order
05:29
to manipulate the numbers but it doesn’t
05:31
mean it wasn’t either and certainly
05:33
we’ve seen the Democrats just be nothing
05:35
but corrupt I mean everything that
05:37
they’ve done involved in the impeachment
05:39
and all of these things just corrupt
05:41
aspect after corrupt aspect after
05:43
corrupt aspect so again I’m very
05:45
suspicious of why all this is going on
05:47
but the Bernie Sanders people have
05:49
already drawn the line in the sand and
05:51
interestingly enough this would be one
05:53
of those things where the right and left
05:55
would probably agree that you know you
05:57
can’t allow this type of corruption to
05:58
go on and if it doesn’t come out as a
06:00
pretty good showing for Bernie Sanders I
06:02
think you’re gonna I think you’ll have
06:04
meltdown within the Democratic Party big
06:07
loser looks like probably so far Biden
06:11
and you know just hasn’t didn’t do well
06:16
looks like he’s because he’s been kind
06:17
of quiet so it looks like his internal
06:19
numbers show him getting like third
06:21
place or something like that Elizabeth
06:23
Warren doing poorly booting edge thinks
06:25
he’s done well he claimed a victory
06:27
that’s that’s kind of heard of its it’s
06:29
got a little bit viral on the internet
06:31
and people are saying you know what a
06:33
goofball because he claimed oh what a
06:34
fabulous victory for us we want ya now
06:36
one in New Hampshire he had a victory
06:39
speech and the results are still not out
06:41
and he had that speech last night so you
06:44
know that was kind of a silliness thing
06:47
that he did I think it’s part of the
06:48
youth of that particular guy that he
06:50
didn’t have the maturity to play that a
06:52
little bit smarter but you know we’ll
06:54
see as these things go forward the other
06:56
aspect of this and I would link it
06:57
slightly to the impeachment because
07:00
Democrats are faced with problems and
07:02
they need to make something out of all
07:04
of this now impeachment is going to be
07:07
voted on today and it looks pretty
07:09
clearly like he’s going to be fairly
07:11
easily acquitted it looks like the
07:13
Republicans are holding firm and will
07:15
vote in mass two four for acquittal of
07:19
the impeachment and it looks like
07:21
there’s going to be three or so senators
07:23
on the Democrat side that are going to
07:25
go over so it’s going to be a bipartisan
07:27
acquittal that is just really bad news
07:30
for those guys now not the first time
07:33
that anyone has suggested this but
07:35
they’re going to have to find a
07:37
scapegoat somebody’s going to get in
07:39
trouble over this and you know who oh
07:41
who could it be so I think the obvious
07:43
targets you’re going to see the
07:45
mainstream media the liberal mainstream
07:47
media immediately you know want to
07:49
attack someone for it so first on the
07:52
menu I think is probably Adam Schiff and
07:54
he has come out in a speech day before
07:58
yesterday saying well you know we did
08:00
everything that can be done everything
08:02
that was humanly possible and this is
08:03
you know Republicans they’re evil nasty
08:05
people who just aren’t aren’t aren’t
08:07
impeaching the president when we say we
08:09
want to so he’s now already started to
08:12
put out his defense publicly so I think
08:14
he’s going to be the top target Jerry
08:17
Nadler will also probably be targeted
08:20
Jerry Nadler is just such a hapless
08:22
individual not very bright
08:24
just not very professional and just sort
08:26
of a goofball guy that ended up there by
08:28
accident we talked previously about his
08:30
history but he was a guy that had run
08:32
for that seat
08:33
I know multiple times like three times
08:36
at least and had always failed and then
08:38
the guy that was going to go in and win
08:40
the seat died of a heart attack and he
08:42
was the only one left around so that
08:43
that’s that’s how he got pumped into
08:45
that seat and won the position
08:47
has been in Congress ever since so he
08:50
just a hapless individual and I think
08:52
he’s going to be so easy to throw out of
08:56
the boss that that you know he’s going
08:58
to be destroyed
08:59
politically fairly quickly out of this
09:01
mess now I may be wrong on that but they
09:03
may look at it and say well it’s too
09:04
easy to blame him
09:05
because he’s such a schmuck but I think
09:08
Adam Schiff is the guy that’s that’s the
09:10
the bigger target and probably the one
09:12
that they’re gonna try to assign the
09:13
blame to so that this let me just say
09:16
this means nothing in the long run just
09:20
we all knew that this was happening and
09:22
that he was going to eventually be
09:23
acquitted or most people believed it the
09:25
smart money was on acquittal but it’s
09:27
just going to be another thing there’s
09:28
going to be another whistleblower or
09:30
another something else come out right
09:31
after this
09:32
this is what we’re faced with for the
09:34
next five years and it’s never gonna
09:36
stop and even ten years after they’re
09:40
the Democrats are still gonna be
09:41
bad-mouthing Trump we to this day years
09:45
after President Reagan laughed and has
09:48
passed away they’re still out there
09:50
trying to rewrite history and badmouth
09:51
Reagan and say what an evil guy he was a
09:54
terrible president and unfortunately
09:56
this never trump or faction of the
09:58
Republican Party is also on board with
10:00
that and they do the same thing they’re
10:01
bad bad-mouthing Reagan and they’re
10:04
bad-mouthing Trump and they’re gonna be
10:05
doing it out there ten years from now
10:07
along with the Democrats well I just be
10:11
nice I think if Schiff got thrown under
10:13
the bus it would still be easier on him
10:16
than being on the bus at least the ones
10:18
marked road workers go this way so thank
10:22
you very much for that I guess that’s an
10:24
explanation a few days before this event
10:28
there were rumors that Hillary Clinton
10:30
had been maneuvering behind the scenes
10:33
to disenfranchise Bernie Sanders again
10:35
and yes you know I as you said something
10:40
that both conservatives and whatever the
10:43
Democrat Party is now should agree on is
10:45
that that is an unacceptable way to run
10:48
things I I I think Bernie Sanders is a
10:50
dangerous communist but I still think
10:53
that if you if you destroy the
10:55
democratic process to circumnavigate
10:57
them then how are you any better than
11:00
he planned to do so exactly right and I
11:04
say I mean the Democratic Party is never
11:06
gonna allow Bernie Sanders to be the
11:07
candidate and it looks like Bernie
11:08
Sanders has won Iowa he’s gonna do very
11:11
well in New Hampshire he’s going to do I
11:14
don’t know Arizona probably not so well
11:16
but certainly in South Carolina he’s got
11:19
a shot to come back there so if going
11:21
into Super Tuesday he’s won three out of
11:24
four you know he’s starting he’s a he’s
11:29
become a force then to deal with at that
11:31
point so I think I mean I’m suspicious
11:34
of what’s going on now if they’re
11:36
looking at if the Democratic National
11:38
Committee is looking at this gone you
11:40
know oMG whatever what are we gonna do
11:42
here I mean he’s he’s gonna win New
11:44
Hampshire do well in South Carolina
11:46
maybe okay and Arizona he’s it looks
11:48
like he’s won Iowa you know maybe we
11:50
should stop him now uh I don’t know
11:52
we’ll see I mean a lot of people out
11:54
there saying 100 suspicious about this
11:57
it’s just a quirk and they goofed up and
12:01
they weren’t ready and all of this and
12:02
so that’s why we haven’t got the results
12:04
but it would also take the wind out of
12:07
the sails for Bernie if they stall so
12:10
long that he can’t Trump at his victory
12:12
and that happened in fact last time
12:15
if everyone were calls to on the
12:18
Republican side to Ted Cruz and there
12:23
was a number of days after he’d won were
12:26
where they was declared that he won the
12:28
hawk the Iowa primary and and they
12:31
didn’t declare it right away and they
12:33
made some mistakes on the figures and
12:34
three days later or something like that
12:36
that went oops was actually Ted Cruz at
12:38
one that took some wind out of his sails
12:39
it did not help him at all so I mean
12:42
that could be essentially what’s going
12:43
on they’ll they’ll just look back at all
12:45
this and say oh well there was this
12:46
technical glitch that technical glitch
12:48
and Bernie won you know three days late
12:50
but you know he won so okay that that
12:53
may be part of it too whether if that
12:54
happens which would be my personal
12:56
prediction if that happens I would be
12:58
extraordinarily suspicious I would say
13:01
that they’re screwing with Bernie if
13:03
that’s the result but we’ll see and
13:05
certainly we should know I would 24 to
13:08
48 hours well we I can’t imagine them
13:10
installing much past that it’s already
13:12
been a day well if you lecture
13:14
comes down to between president Trump
13:15
and Bernie Sanders you’re gonna see the
13:17
greatest age divide in US history that’s
13:21
everybody under 30 versus everybody over
13:24
thank you go ahead I’ll add one more
13:27
thing I’m sorry there is precedent for
13:30
that when President Reagan ran for his
13:33
reelection and won by 48 or 49 states it
13:38
was also a candidate that had had taken
13:41
the nomination McGovern who was very
13:44
leftist for the time and sort of the
13:47
party said okay fine let’s just give
13:49
this guy his chance but he was very
13:50
left-wing at that time not as far
13:53
left-wing as Bernie Sanders is today but
13:55
very left-wing for his time and they let
13:58
it go forward and so the Democrats have
14:02
not forgotten that and they know they
14:04
got creamed I mean that’s I don’t I
14:07
don’t know how far you’d have to go back
14:09
in history or if ever there’s been a
14:11
time we’re in a real action of president
14:13
1 48 or 49 states but they don’t want
14:16
that humiliation again and if there’s a
14:18
situation of that nature they know that
14:20
they’re gonna lose a lot of House seats
14:22
and and more Senate seats so they cannot
14:25
allow Bernie Sanders to be the nominee
14:28
because they know he will just get a
14:30
shellacking and that just costs them too
14:32
much party wide so it they’ve gotten
14:35
real problem on their hands there’s just
14:36
a real problem that’s I think meltdown
14:39
is in the future I wouldn’t be even
14:41
surprised if this if Bernie continues to
14:43
do well they’re gonna have to try and
14:44
force this into a contested nomination
14:47
process that they’re gonna take care of
14:49
at the convention and try to say it’s
14:51
you know they’re at loggerheads so we
14:53
have to bring in somebody else or
14:54
whoever that will provide some
14:56
opportunities for who knows Bloomberg
14:58
maybe I doubt Hillary but you never know
15:01
I’m sure she dreams of such things but I
15:04
just don’t know definitely they’re
15:06
saying that Michelle Obama is not
15:10
interested in not doing and not going to
15:12
run but she was someone who’d been
15:13
speculated about maybe six eight months
15:15
ago so we’ll see it’s going to be very
15:18
interesting but I against I don’t see
15:20
how this is going to be anything other
15:21
than a bloodbath for the Democrats
15:23
fighting each other

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