Americans for Intelligence Reform

Brad Johnson, President, and retired CIA Senior Officer and Chief of Staff. Insight into current events from an intelligence angle.

Brad Johnson on rumors that North Korean leader is terminally ill.

 

https://youtu.be/I5O0RkJSJvo

 

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grab Johnson it’s April 22nd and in

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geopolitical news there are very strong

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rumors that the leader of North Korea is

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a wall that he’s either passed away or

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he’s in very serious brain-dead

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condition which I I’m told is also a

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upgrade for that particular guy and his

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sister looks like she’s poised to take

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over what do we know about that

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yeah there’s it’s interesting now a

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couple of aspects on this worth noting

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now that there’s a lot of information

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out there that saying he’s as you say

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very badly damaged in one way or another

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and has gone in for some form of surgery

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now of course it’s a closed system in

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North Korea so we don’t really know

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what’s going on to counterbalance that

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because the information is sort of

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overwhelming everybody’s kind of

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assuming that he is indeed sick to

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counterbalance that South Korea is

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reporting that they don’t have any

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information that that’s true now I give

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a lot of weight to the South Korea

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aspect of this because South Korea

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there’s nobody more interested in the

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world in what’s going on in North Korea

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than South Korea because they still got

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the DMZ in the Demilitarized Zone that

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border there’s a lot of conflict from

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time to time along that border and

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including shooting and killing people

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it’s it’s not a safe area and so this is

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something where they’re finely attuned

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to this and I would know I don’t know

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this so if I’m not drawing from special

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knowledge but you’ve got to assume that

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they have a great deal of reporting from

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inside North Korea of one form or

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another whether it’s from the media but

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their capability to watch and analyze is

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superior to anyone’s in in my opinion

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maybe it’s certainly equal to the United

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States I would say on the one subject of

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North Korea now they’re saying there’s

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no information to confirm that they

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don’t have any reason to believe that

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it’s true so like I said I now take the

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reporting with a great deal of salt if

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you will just because of the South Korea

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perspective however that said let’s just

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go on and assume it’s true for the

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moment and what will happen because if

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it’s not true he’ll just show back up

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out of stage and be yelling at somebody

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or doing something looking at a rocket

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blow off so that would be

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you know nothing is nothing it’ll be non

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news item then so if it’s true as you

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mentioned the sisters wall position

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she’s been in the press for the last two

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or three years now for North Korean

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standards to have her be a public

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persona in this system is very

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significant

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so she’s clearly very associated with

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her brother in in running North Korea

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and that’s widely accepted so he’s been

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bringing her in now there’s been some

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argument and discussion what exactly she

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represents is she the power behind the

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throne is she the real brains to all

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this what precisely is she just truly an

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ally of the brother helping and I think

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she sees that that her bread is buttered

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by having him be strong and in control

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so I think that some degree and probably

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vacillates up and down is whether she

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kind of runs the show or bits and pieces

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of the show or she just is a passive

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adviser and trying to help him along the

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way and I’m sure it’s some combination

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of those all of those factors but she

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would be the heir apparent and if he

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does die or is fully mentally

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incapacitated and no longer in control

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of the country she will be the person to

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step in so then it’s a question of how

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it will unfold from there so really I

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would say there’s there’s basically two

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scenarios that you could see one that I

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personally consider them more likely as

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she will immediately she’s already in

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some ways stepped into that breech since

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we don’t know the real condition there

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of the president if I can call him that

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the dictator of North Korea it’s hard to

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say what what how far that has gone and

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if it how real it is at this point but

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there’s also a lot of rumors that she

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was the one that was kind of pushing for

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some of the brutal executions of some of

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these people that the brother got rid of

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as he was consolidating his position as

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dictator of North Korea and if you’ll

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recall one of the guys was executed by

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firing squad

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he was stood up in front of a

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anti-aircraft gun and they shot him from

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close range in there

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anti-aircraft gun which just you know

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turns him basically into a mist that

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floats away on the breeze so they were

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certainly making a political point by

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that form of execution and a lot of

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rumors and discussion out there that the

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sisters behind some of these more brutal

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ideas one of the things I would point

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out about that is is and a lot of people

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don’t focus on this but if you look at

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terrorism for example and these

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political murderers and things like that

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that take place lumping this violence

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all into one big group women actually

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when they they don’t tend to get

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involved in that stuff but when they do

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get involved they tend to be far more

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cruel than the men it’s an interesting

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little aspect some of the terrorists

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you’ll remember this shopping mall in

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Africa they got taken over in the leader

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of this group that was doing it was a

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woman and and some of the real very

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cruel things that she had these people

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do and things that she did personally

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you know executing mothers in front of

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children and children in front of

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mothers where men terraces come in and

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if they want them dead they just shoot

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them and it’s over with so the rumor I

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tend to believe that the sister was

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involved in some of these things because

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that’s not she would view the world so I

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wouldn’t be overly surprised if

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everybody has a healthy respect for this

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woman and they’re a little bit afraid of

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her so as I say my my personal opinion

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is that that plan a would be that if if

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if the brother dies was incapacitated

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she’ll just step in and take control I

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think she’s already got a lot of control

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of course the other option is that she

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spot for it and then if that’s the case

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what that means is they’re gonna start

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shooting in North Korea until somebody’s

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left in charge and you can almost be

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certain of a quiet a little bit of

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bloodbath around the top and they would

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need to kill the sister almost

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immediately because she would just be

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too dangerous to be left alive so as

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long as she’s alive I think she’s the

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frontrunner to take control if the

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brother goes away if they can kill her

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if there’s if there’s groups in

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opposition that want that are that

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capable of killing her

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then then I think you would see the

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bloodbath really take off until like I

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said until one person was left in charge

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but like I said really my personal

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opinions based on South Korean reporting

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there may be nothing there to begin with

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if there is anything to begin with I

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think it would be a fairly by North

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Korean standards peaceful transition to

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the sister and then my third theory when

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it would be the the pandemonium and the

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shoot-’em-up sort of stuff

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