Americans for Intelligence Reform

Brad Johnson, President, and retired CIA Senior Officer and Chief of Staff. Insight into current events from an intelligence angle.

Brad Johnson on US /Iranian naval conflict

https://youtu.be/n1ZMkUseb64

 

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Brad Johnson it’s April 22nd and the

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President Trump has just tweeted out a

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much more aggressive policy on and

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probably much a long awaited policy on

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how to deal with harassment of US Navy

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assets in the Gulf by Iranian you know

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I’ve got to quote the article by Iranian

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highly unprofessional and very dangerous

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actions on the seas it’s really if you

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when you watch the video of what these

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guys did it’s clearly not the behavior

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of a professional Navy and Trump has now

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said we’re going to shoot these boats

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down for you know if they continue to

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behave in that way and that seems to be

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a considerable uptick in US policy and

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it’s something that you would expect

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from John but you know the now fired

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John Bolton what do you know about that

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yeah I would be consistent with

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something John Bolton would be happy

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with he was long pushing for a regime

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change in Iran which personally I

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thought was you know a fine idea there

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the creator of a lot of terrorism a lot

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of problems I mean there’s other bad

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actors in the world but certainly

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they’re one of those bad actors so yes

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now President Trump I just gave you

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order out to the military that if

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they’re harassed in that way if there’s

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unsafe things going on unsafe to our

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Navy that then just blow them out of the

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water and be done with it

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and I that is clearly the line in the

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sand that we always used to talk about

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with President Obama of course the

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difference being in in this case the

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ratings would have stepped over it with

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Obama and then the ball would have drawn

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a new land outline in the sand in this

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case I think we all understand that

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Trump means it the Navy understands that

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he means it and the Navy’s going to just

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do that very thing and they don’t like

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this harassment either and it’s it’s the

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whole idea is it’s a propaganda ploy by

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the Iranians they do this all the time

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they do the harassment and they do it

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for domestic consumption essentially to

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show that they’re this powerhouse and

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their navies this you know undefeatable

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it’s it’s it’s the propaganda ploy that

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they’re using it’s something that

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they’ve employed for a very long time

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and we’ve seen them go so far as in the

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previous administration to capture that

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US Navy ship and take these guys

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prisoner and hold them for a while and

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let them go those sorts of ploys they do

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all of the time as I said its domestic

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consumption so that’s what they’re after

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and this is something that I would

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expect them to push a little bit anyway

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they’re going to try to get right up to

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the point where they get shot and then

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back down at that point I wouldn’t be

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surprised if they lost a couple ships

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along the way but this is something

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that’s going to enfold the Iranians have

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got a lot of problems so they need to

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show something to their public to keep

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things tamp down and under control this

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is a regime that is ruling with a very

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cruel dictatorship and an iron fist over

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the people against their will and so

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they’ve got to be very careful of this

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will boiling up and overthrowing the

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regime themselves so this is this is

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very important to them that’s the item

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to take home out of this is how

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important this propaganda ploy sort of

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stuff is from their perspective and why

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they’re doing it so a shoot-’em-up of

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any kind with the US Navy even if they

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just lose a couple of those these little

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boats with two or three people on that’s

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good from their perspective because that

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takes the domestic problems off the

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front page for a while and they can talk

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about the great sake in the United

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States Steve the United States evil

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Trump evil this that or the other and

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they’ll get some good publicity out of

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that for allies that want to work with

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and help Iran which it does have other

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regimes in the area in particular that

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are willing to do that so it is kind of

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a two-pronged in that sense that they

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can then ask for aid or help or support

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or whatever it is they want out of these

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neighboring countries that it’ll

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cooperate with them so that’s what’s

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going on

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that’s what’s playing out and I would as

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I said I would expect this to continue

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to be played by the Iranians they want

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that sweet spot on where they can get

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great propaganda out of it without

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giving the United States to actually

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totally focus on our animal

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take out the regime or something so

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they’ll stay short of that but they will

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they will pay pick this up too and

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perhaps pass that line on on these

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approaches to the Navy u.s. Navy ships

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well as I recall when they did kidnap

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those American sailors and brought them

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to Iran they also forced them to make

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for us your classic World War two style

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statements about how they were being

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treated and then as I recall they sent

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them home with gift baskets so so yeah

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that would that would suggest that it

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was a propaganda effort Brad Johnson

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thank you very much for that that’s also

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something to be watching in the near

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future absolutely thank you

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[Music]

 
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