Americans for Intelligence Reform

Brad Johnson, President, and retired CIA Senior Officer and Chief of Staff. Insight into current events from an intelligence angle.

Brad Johnson, Wuhan Flu, impact of smoking and 2nd hand smoking

https://youtu.be/HctEtP_U8fY

 
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Brad Johnson it is March the force of
00:03
2020 and I think it’s time for a Wu hen
00:07
flu update but you know I caught an
00:09
interesting headline just a few minutes
00:11
ago thanks to one of us Vlad Tepes blogs
00:13
readers that they’re planning to flog
00:15
people in Iran who were were licking
00:20
mouthing otherwise handling shrines in
00:24
order to whatever I’m not sure what the
00:26
plan was but Iran is planning to flog
00:29
these people and I’m thinking you know
00:31
it would be much better if they made
00:33
them change their last name to shrine
00:35
liquor and you know then my local
00:39
pharmacy it may be ubereats would know
00:41
not to hire these guys which i think
00:43
would be a much better plan than just
00:45
flogging them and the second the second
00:48
point is that the government flogging
00:50
these people is kind of an admission
00:52
that the central doctrine of Islam insha
00:55
Allah or as Allah wills it and so don’t
00:58
worry about what decisions you make
00:59
maybe a flawed flawed way to proceed
01:02
what do you think well I just actually
01:05
get them touching all of that too I
01:06
don’t think there’s any chance at all
01:08
that they will admit there’s anything
01:10
flawed
01:11
so about them about Islam so that’s not
01:13
going to happen and they’ve got to
01:15
actually have kind of a problem now and
01:17
that those videos of them licking these
01:20
shrines and stuff I I comment on it it’s
01:23
hard to talk about it without being
01:24
crude in some way but when they when
01:27
they lick these things it’s not a thing
01:30
where they just like you know touch
01:31
their tongue to it or something and then
01:33
walk away I mean they get in there and
01:35
lick the thing so I mean it’s like all
01:37
around you know it’s a big effort of
01:41
licking it so it’s just there’s just no
01:44
question that it’s a unbelievable way to
01:47
spread germs and a virus so I think it’s
01:50
just going wild there and there’s good
01:52
reasons why so I would kind of set Iran
01:54
aside that this might end up being kind
01:56
of a self-correcting problem as the
01:59
disease weight makes its way around Iran
02:01
and and I would just kind of throw out
02:02
all the data from there because of the
02:04
practices that they have and the
02:06
religious practices and the licking the
02:08
shrines and all that stuff so do you
02:10
think Iran is going to ask for Israeli
02:12
medical help what do you think
02:13
I suspect not so I don’t think I don’t
02:17
think they view that as a requirement
02:18
have medical help but there there’s
02:20
already been at least one senior person
02:22
and I out of it I ran out of the current
02:25
regime and they they do these meetings
02:28
where they talk about the disease and
02:29
then they all crowd around and get a
02:30
photograph together so I mean it’s it’s
02:33
just one of those things where they yeah
02:34
they talk about it they recognize that
02:35
it’s there but they don’t seem to aren’t
02:38
seem to be able to get past the
02:40
restrictions based on the kind of
02:42
fundamentalist Islamic perspective that
02:44
they have so I think they’re among
02:48
leadership and among the government
02:50
people and all that it’s and among the
02:52
you know hardcore religious believers
02:55
those sorts of people it’s just going to
02:57
run rampant among kind of people outside
02:59
of that a little bit less you know say
03:02
Muslim light if you will that aren’t
03:05
quite so hardcore on these things those
03:07
people will probably have a lot better
03:08
survival rate but let me get on to the
03:11
China aspect of this Wuhan flu because
03:13
there’s a couple of aspects of that that
03:15
are particularly interesting I have
03:17
talked about how there were certain
03:19
things I was looking at that made me
03:21
think it was kind of a designer bug that
03:24
had been thrown out therefore perhaps by
03:27
accident perhaps on purpose but now some
03:29
of the data is starting to surface that
03:31
actually makes a lot of sense and my
03:33
feel for it is now that this is this it
03:36
there there may be some the clue there
03:39
was aspects of it this looks like it was
03:41
stolen out of Winnipeg we saw the guy
03:43
arrested at the airport there was indeed
03:45
trying to smuggle out samples from this
03:47
level for lab in Winnipeg that was
03:50
destined for the level 4 lab in China at
03:53
Wuhan now that part we know because of
03:55
the arrests in the airport of the guy
03:57
trying to smuggle this stuff out so now
04:00
what had it been worked on InDesign it
04:02
looks like it was too soon it looks like
04:04
this is just one of the strains that had
04:06
been was being studied we don’t know how
04:08
far along the process it was it looks
04:10
like it was just something that was very
04:12
you know kind of highly contagious sort
04:15
of a bug in this particular case virus
04:18
so what I find interesting out of the
04:21
statistics that we’re seeing is that one
04:23
of the things that really bothered me
04:24
was this high rate is high instant
04:26
of infection rate among adult males in
04:29
Asia and that that environment the areas
04:33
around China in the Asian world if you
04:36
will
04:36
and that was statistically just didn’t
04:38
match it didn’t make sense where you
04:40
have this for example white males of the
04:42
same age and health and all of that just
04:44
weren’t getting infected at those rates
04:45
now one of the things that’s just popped
04:47
out is the smoking rate and there now
04:51
there’s no good statistics out of China
04:52
for example on how many men smoke but
04:54
the smoking rate there is very high
04:56
something along 50% rate or higher of
04:59
adult males who smoked and smoked
05:01
heavily they smoked a lot and they don’t
05:03
tend to have the highly filtered
05:05
cigarettes and all that so they’re
05:06
smoking the the bad boys if you will out
05:08
of the cigarette world for the most part
05:10
so heavy smoking and relating to this
05:13
being able to get sick and have it
05:14
spread then starts to account for some
05:17
of those statistics that we see that are
05:18
a little odd now I would argue it’s
05:21
still not quite enough and so I’m
05:22
looking at the back end of it then why
05:24
are the women not getting it as highly
05:26
you know at any sort of rate that they
05:28
should compare to the men one other
05:30
factor I think has come into account
05:32
that makes me conclude that this just
05:33
happens to be a bug they lost control of
05:35
it they don’t have good controls at this
05:37
Wow Han level for lab and it got away
05:39
from them and that’s all we’re seeing
05:41
nothing beyond that the other aspect of
05:44
that you have to go back a ways and that
05:45
is in in the 80s the World Health
05:48
Organization which we all know is not a
05:50
conservative right-wing any of that sort
05:52
of stuff definitely hardcore left-wing
05:54
and so they’ll they’re what they do
05:56
their practices what they say all fit
05:58
this sort of leftist philosophy and
06:01
schedule and what they’re trying to have
06:02
accomplished so back in the 80s when
06:06
they still did a few serious things that
06:07
were kind of nonpartisan they did this
06:09
huge study on on the effects of smoking
06:12
and of course their goal was to damage
06:14
the smoking Lobby the smoking industry
06:16
and attack cigarettes but out of that
06:19
they found of course that statistically
06:21
if you smoke you’re susceptible to a lot
06:23
of things if you don’t smoke you’re less
06:25
susceptible to those things out of that
06:27
study and they found what was the big
06:30
surprise is they found that secondhand
06:32
smoke exposure to secondhand smoke
06:34
actually made you slightly less
06:36
susceptible than non-smokers so the most
06:39
in danger
06:40
the smokers next were the non-smokers
06:42
and the the group the last group to be
06:45
in the least amount of danger
06:46
statistically worthy people exposed to
06:49
secondhand smoke now since then the 80s
06:51
all of those that study is almost
06:53
impossible to find now because it’s been
06:55
completely erased and eradicated you
06:58
find references to it out there in the
07:01
blogosphere but to actually find the
07:03
study anymore a World Health
07:04
Organization has covered it up they
07:05
don’t want any any of that information
07:07
out there these studies that were done
07:09
on we’re no longer allowed that looked
07:12
at the same information so all of that
07:16
was was greatly surprised and they
07:17
supposedly are the pro science folks but
07:20
they’re not they’re anti science they
07:21
covered all this up suppressed all the
07:23
information out there haven’t allowed
07:24
any more studies to go forward for
07:26
decades then about ten years ago this
07:28
resurfaced they knew they had to beat
07:30
this problem down so they started coming
07:32
out with a lot of things now if you read
07:33
closely I was just looking back at a
07:36
report that came out by ABC a few years
07:39
ago and here’s the tactic they’re taking
07:42
I just want to read this little comment
07:43
to you if I can find it they talked
07:45
about how there’s there’s not it’s not a
07:48
myth that secondhand smoke is dangerous
07:50
and how that it’s something that that
07:54
that you know there’s information out
07:56
there and the words are let’s see if I
07:59
find it in the article the comment is
08:02
that like out of this ABC story that
08:05
smoking the dangers of secondhand smoke
08:07
is not a myth and studies that followed
08:10
non-smokers have lived as smokers found
08:12
some increase in lung cancer and heart
08:13
disease but they studied people who were
08:15
exposed to lots of smoke often shut-in
08:17
with chainsmokers four years in
08:18
claustrophobic situations like homes and
08:20
cars even then some of the studies found
08:22
no effect so that’s how they’re playing
08:24
it nevertheless it’s been enough to
08:26
launch a movement to ban smoking most
08:27
everywhere so that’s how they’re playing
08:29
if they’re saying wow there’s some
08:30
studies that do this but the studies are
08:32
clear secondhand smoke isn’t very
08:35
dangerous for you and may in fact have a
08:36
slightly positive effect now back to the
08:39
rule hand virus that would explain why
08:42
all of these statistics are so skewed on
08:45
the one hand you have the male smokers
08:47
who heavily smoked in China specifically
08:50
who are far more susceptible to catching
08:53
this disease
08:53
because of respiratory issues that they
08:55
have they’re just more susceptible so
08:57
their statistics for being infected go
08:59
way up the women on the other hand don’t
09:01
tend to be smokers and yet they’re
09:03
exposed to secondhand smoke so they have
09:05
a slightly better rate of resistance to
09:08
it so their statistics go down the gap
09:11
then between these two things suddenly
09:13
make sense it comes into focus okay that
09:16
all matches so again now I’ve concluded
09:19
based on what we’re seeing that’s almost
09:21
certainly a a virus that just escaped
09:25
from this level 4 lab in Wuhan that’s
09:27
the epicenter it has spread from there
09:29
and those statistics are just going to
09:31
play out the way they do it’s not going
09:34
to be this horrible dread disease like
09:36
the 1918 version that came out and had
09:38
such a high kill rate it’s going to be
09:40
what it is those groups that are
09:42
susceptible will get sick the youth
09:44
appears to be particularly resistant to
09:46
this or not seeing young people get sick
09:48
in large numbers it’s the old and infirm
09:51
and heavy smokers and people that are
09:53
just in these high susceptible groups
09:56
and if you’re not then the resistance
09:59
tends to be high and that’s why we see
10:01
people go for two and three weeks that
10:02
are infected but don’t even know it
10:04
because they don’t feel it so that there
10:06
is that carrier issue out there but with
10:08
the sophistication for medical treatment
10:10
and diagnose diagnosing the disease the
10:14
virus that exists in the West it’s just
10:17
not going to be that problem the areas
10:19
where we’re going to see it go out of
10:20
control I think China has figured all
10:21
this out they’re starting to get it
10:23
under control of those areas where we
10:24
see these refugee camps like turkey just
10:29
released thousands of refugees out into
10:32
the world and they’re trying to flood
10:34
into Europe and where you see those
10:35
areas and then also in Iran with the
10:38
pilgrimages and the shrines and the
10:40
Licking and all this stuff those groups
10:42
then you’re is where you’re going to see
10:43
the center of this disease and
10:44
unfortunately it’s the people that are
10:47
least prepared to deal with it that are
10:49
going to be most faced with this problem
10:50
and the others in the other countries
10:53
where it’s just we’re not so susceptible
10:55
we’re far more resistant just to begin
10:56
with as well so it’s just not going to
10:58
be that big of a deal I think now a lot
11:01
of the hike that we’ve seen out of the
11:02
left in particular is now pretty well
11:04
debunked well a lot still needs to play
11:07
but this is this is a snapshot of where
11:09
we find ourselves today Brad Johnson
11:12
thank you very much that’s very
11:14
interesting and we’ll really annoy a lot
11:15
of the religiously anti-smoking people
11:18
thank you

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