Americans for Intelligence Reform

Brad Johnson, President, and retired CIA Senior Officer and Chief of Staff. Insight into current events from an intelligence angle.

Erdogan will win election in Turkey, legitimate or not

Recep Tayyip Erdogan has been in power in Turkey for over a decade and has consolidated his power through various means, including cracking down on the media and opposition parties. With the upcoming election in Turkey, many question the legitimacy of the election, and whether or not Erdogan will allow a fair vote. Despite the concerns of the opposition and international community, Erdogan will win re-election, even if not legitimate.

Erdogan’s AKP party has a strong base of supporters, largely made up of people who are conservative and religious. His base is not likely to waver, regardless of any questions surrounding the legitimacy of the election. Additionally, Erdogan has made strides to ensure his victory, including arresting opposition figures and jailing journalists who criticize him. With these measures in place, Erdogan is practically guaranteed to win the election.

The international community has expressed concern over the state of democracy in Turkey and the chances of a fair election. The legitimacy of the upcoming election will be vital to Turkey’s reputation and influence on the world stage. Despite this, Erdogan is unlikely to change course and allow a fair and free election. The importance of winning at all costs has become too great, and he will likely use any means necessary to maintain power. Therefore, even if his win is not seen as legitimate, Erdogan will win re-election and remain in power. So, the future of democracy in Turkey remains uncertain.

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