Americans for Intelligence Reform

Brad Johnson, President, and retired CIA Senior Officer and Chief of Staff. Insight into current events from an intelligence angle.

Libya, Egypt, Russia, vs Turkey

Could this conflict cause a bloody war?

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=u7-XIrwqjNo

[expander_maker id=”8″ more=”Click for entire transcript” less=”Read less”]
brad johnson i haven’t checked I still
00:01
think it’s July 13th some I guess good
00:05
news in terms of that slow-motion World
00:08
War three that’s taking place now it
00:10
looks like Russia is taking the opposite
00:13
side against Turkey on two fronts what’s
00:16
going on in that in Libya yeah it’s an
00:20
interesting little thing now the
00:21
reporting on this comes out about
00:23
Jazeera which I don’t necessarily
00:24
recommend everyone to waste their time
00:26
digging through but al Jazeera reported
00:29
this that in Malta a ship bound for
00:32
Libya that is Russian supporting the
00:37
half guard for general haft our troops
00:39
that are and the like working against
00:43
the Libyan government which is in trench
00:45
so you have general haft are backed by
00:48
Russia United Arab Emirates and Egypt on
00:52
the one hand fighting against the
00:54
entrenched radical Islamic government
00:56
and tripoli backed by Turkey so Russia
01:01
was caught with these two huge packs of
01:04
counterfeit money Libyan money that they
01:07
had been producing and they were
01:08
shipping this to half tarp to fund his
01:11
efforts that are so a couple of
01:14
observations just on that on the face
01:16
this is a tried and true technique by
01:18
Russian intelligence something that
01:20
they’ve done forever
01:21
and they’ve counterfeited American money
01:23
many many times as have done a lot of
01:25
countries like China and other enemies
01:28
of the United States of America and so
01:30
this is standard operating procedures
01:31
there’s nothing new to them doing this
01:34
so I would look at on the face of this
01:36
reporting I would say you know I would
01:38
99 percent this is exactly the truth
01:40
that they had been producing this money
01:42
to support up an ally essentially in
01:45
Libya
01:46
now there are a couple other aspects of
01:49
this that I think are worth touching on
01:53
on this now one of the things as I
01:56
mentioned you’ve got kind of Turkey on
01:58
the on the one side and UAE Egypt and
02:02
Russia on the other side facing off each
02:05
other inside Libya with these surrogate
02:08
troops that are fighting haft ours done
02:11
general half-dressed and very well
02:13
has almost taken all of Libya a couple
02:15
of times and the Turks have stepped in
02:17
to stop him
02:19
turkey of course what they’re looking to
02:20
do is recreate and establish Turkish
02:24
authoritarian rule and another another
02:28
Ottoman Empire and this is one of the
02:30
steps one of the areas they want to
02:32
rican troll if you are can back to the
02:34
ottoman times and so they’re pushing to
02:37
do that create an entire circuit and
02:39
government that’s under the control of
02:41
Turkey so one of the things that they’ve
02:43
now done and this was a threat it also
02:45
just came out Turkey made a statement
02:48
and they said that if general Haftarah
02:51
continues this targeting and that
02:54
they’re hitting assets that are now
02:56
controlled or put there by Turkey even
02:58
though they’re being manned by the
03:00
opposition Libyan forces that they won’t
03:04
view that as an attack on them
03:05
essentially and that they will then
03:07
consider half our forces a legitimate
03:09
military target so to decipher that what
03:12
they’re saying is you keep attacking the
03:15
Libyan forces that’s our equipment we
03:17
will then directly attack you so this is
03:20
a threat by Turkey to escalate the war
03:22
to directly intervene in the Libyan
03:26
Civil War on the side of the of the
03:29
tripoli government and that by the way
03:33
now has also been offset Egypt has been
03:35
supposedly there’s been reporting that
03:38
they’re bringing in tanks and armored
03:41
vehicles and things like that how many
03:43
troops they might be moving in or out I
03:45
don’t know but this is a very
03:47
interesting turn of events because now
03:49
you’ve got Russia very actively involved
03:52
you do a ii actively involved and you’ve
03:53
got egypt possibly involved with troops
03:56
and equipment so could pretty quickly if
04:00
turkey and turkey doesn’t particularly
04:03
back down on this sort of thing so i
04:05
would expect
04:06
turkish forces to be attacking halftime
04:09
general haft our forces inside libya
04:12
fairly soon if that takes place will
04:15
egypt then step up and provide troops
04:18
and equipment to then offset the turks
04:20
half guard cannot stand up to the
04:23
turkish military a direct onslaught so
04:26
he would be
04:26
feeded under those circumstances but
04:29
kenny jipped stand up to them especially
04:31
when they’ve got the backing of Russia
04:32
and UAE and that would be a battle that
04:36
would have to be determined but I would
04:38
say the odds would then swing back to
04:39
the general Haftarah and allies group
04:42
and you’ve got now just one of the
04:46
little things and the aspects of it you
04:49
implied this earlier on was you’ve got
04:53
Greece in this max now just picture in
04:57
your mind on a map
04:58
you’ve got Turkey to the north and Egypt
05:02
to the south with the Mediterranean Sea
05:04
between them and they’re directly north
05:05
and south of each other and next door to
05:08
the west
05:09
you’ve got Greece and Libya so you know
05:13
what putting it a different way you know
05:15
you’ve got Egypt and and Libya to the
05:19
west next door to them and Greece and
05:22
Turkey the same way with Greece to the
05:25
west
05:25
now what Turkey has done is they’ve
05:29
created this treaty with this puppet
05:31
government in Libya and Tripoli that
05:33
says basically the sea between the two
05:37
countries of Turkey and Libya are a free
05:41
economic zone for Turkish exploitation
05:44
and all of that well you know consider
05:46
you’re going to diagonally across those
05:48
countries I just mentioned what does
05:49
that mean that means Greece is in that
05:52
zone so that is this justification that
05:55
Turkey is using to go exploit the oil
05:58
and drill and all those things now
06:00
Greece economically is a mess so they’re
06:02
not going to really be able to stand up
06:03
to Turkey but they do have a certain
06:05
amount of rushing back so this is one of
06:08
those power plays that we see turkey
06:11
making – as I say reestablish the
06:14
Ottoman Empire really span there the
06:16
areas under their control and these are
06:18
sort of the forces that are playing out
06:20
now everybody happened out in that part
06:22
of the world knows all this you know
06:24
this is openly discussed I wouldn’t say
06:26
this is something that some grand secret
06:29
strategy this is fairly open source type
06:32
of news items that are being discussed
06:33
in Europe here and in the United States
06:38
and Canada and
06:39
and Europe to some degree what the
06:41
western part of Europe it’s one of those
06:43
things that everybody sort of in denial
06:44
because internationally Europe in the
06:48
United States and Canada recognize the
06:50
radical Islamic regime in Tripoli as the
06:55
legitimate government even though the
06:57
u.s. educated general haft are in the
07:00
courses operating against them is
07:03
essentially a would be a friend to the
07:05
west of the United States so it’s one of
07:07
those bass-ackwards all mixed up sorts
07:09
of things that has real flash potential
07:12
to create some problems and we’ve now
07:15
seen that next knotch moved up where
07:18
turkey says we’re going to go directly
07:20
into this fray if they do that will not
07:23
remain on answer in my opinion by Egypt
07:26
and the other allies I mentioned they
07:28
will also then come into the fray and if
07:30
you have Egypt which is also a big army
07:34
it’s the biggest army of all of the Arab
07:36
countries directly against Turkey who
07:40
they feared they as I said Egypt
07:43
understands what Turkey is doing and
07:45
they’ll like it they want it stopped and
07:47
so that’s why they’re facing off in
07:49
Libya that’s where where all this
07:51
happens so I and you’ve got Russia
07:53
backing Greece to try and stop the Turks
07:56
there and you’ve got them all then as I
07:58
said as a conglomerate backing the the
08:03
Libyan forces against the Tripoli back
08:05
Turkish back Tripoli government so it’s
08:08
it’s really turning into a potential for
08:12
an escalated war where you start to have
08:16
other countries come into it now with
08:18
that naturally go to a world war I don’t
08:21
think so I mean you would not
08:22
necessarily have the rest of Europe in
08:25
the United States involved in that but
08:28
I’ll tell you one thing if if Egypt and
08:30
Turkey go to it and a head you got a
08:33
frakking mess on their hands and that’s
08:34
the truth it’s it’s going to be bloody
08:36
and bad so I I and it has the potential
08:39
to be very dangerous on a larger scale
08:41
so it’s it’s something that we all need
08:45
to create a more realistic policy and
08:47
and start looking for more realistic
08:50
solutions and know
08:52
kowtow to Turkey on these issues would
08:54
you say that Russia had a strategic
08:57
policy of not allowing a regional
09:01
hegemony in their near far because that
09:04
would kind of explain a lot of these
09:05
actions oh yeah absolutely I mean I you
09:09
know any student of history you don’t
09:11
have to look back very far to see war
09:13
after war through the you know decades
09:15
between Russia and Turkey they’ve long
09:17
gone at it as competitors in that area
09:20
for influencing powers so this is just
09:23
something right out of the history books
09:26
where they’re they’re confronting each
09:27
other over these over power and
09:30
influence and Russia absolutely does not
09:32
want to see a reestablishment of the
09:35
Ottoman Empire so they’re they’re very
09:37
much against it and I would this is
09:39
something we talked about in a previous
09:40
interview but I would have everybody
09:43
recall when the Turkish delegation went
09:45
to visit Russia they were plopped down
09:48
in front of the lot of the Russia
09:50
previous political leaders and military
09:53
leaders who had defeated the Ottomans
09:55
and so that was something that Putin was
09:57
referred to specifically and it was in
09:59
some ways a thinly veiled threat that
10:01
we’ve done before we can do it again
10:03
so they like I state really wide
10:06
everybody in that area of the world
10:07
everything I say is no surprise to
10:10
anyone out there we’re here in the West
10:11
it’s it’s completely ignored decisions
10:14
being reported on imagine that Egypt and
10:16
Turkey possibly facing off to have our
10:18
actual ground war with their troops and
10:21
that’s not getting reported in the West
10:23
that’s part of this deep
10:24
irresponsibility in them and the
10:26
mainstream media that we’ve seen out
10:27
here in the West for not reporting the
10:29
important issues that are out there
10:31
yeah the West has lost all concept of
10:34
journalism thank you very much bread
10:48
you

[/expander_maker]

Share:

More Posts

A True Christmas Miracle 

“Dear Mother, I am writing from the trenches. It is 11:00 in the morning. Beside me is a coke fire, opposite me a ‘dug-out’ (wet)

Send Us A Message