Americans for Intelligence Reform

Brad Johnson, President, and retired CIA Senior Officer and Chief of Staff. Insight into current events from an intelligence angle.

Update on volatile situation in Venezuela May 2019

https://youtu.be/f7_0__1PUE0

For the entire transcript of this interview, please continue reading.

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today is May 629 and I’m talking to Brad

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Johnson retired CIA station chief from

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somewhere deep in Eastern Europe I think

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it was we want to talk about Venezuela

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which is it’s just the most under rated

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story and its importance maybe for I

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don’t mean today because of the current

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conflict I mean since Chavez got elected

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and he destroyed the place with

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socialism but what would you what can

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you tell us about the situation now

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because media reports have it that the

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United States is about to ruin it by

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blundering in and of course that’s

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that’s ludicrously untrue

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but maybe you can clarify that

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absolutely just kind of by way of

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background Chava is about 20 years ago

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now took power he was illegally elected

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and just began spending the money of you

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know pissing the money away and taking

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it and every year he would do things

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like change the laws and create new

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taxes and then say that you have to pay

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a back taxes and so on

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to the international companies that were

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in the oil companies mainly that we’re

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in Venezuela and so on so he he slowly

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chased out all the expertise slowly ate

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up all the money and put it into these

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programs he’s make work programs and he

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would have and so he was able to keep

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like his unemployment numbers good and

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things like that a lot of the statistics

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look pretty good because he would just

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steal money from wherever he could and

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within the economy and spend it and of

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course that’s killing the the goose that

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laid the golden eggs and so each time

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you’d have to come up with another

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golden goose another golden goose

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another golden goose and eventually that

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ran out and not long after shortly

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before he died the economy was already

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destroyed and he took a nation that was

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the fifth largest at its peak the fifth

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largest in the world I mean it was

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bigger than China the Chinese Chinese

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economy and so I mean Venezuela was very

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successful and had been nicely

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diversified for a period of time so the

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economy was starting to be a very

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broad-based economy and very wealthy I

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visited during the

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period spent some time in Venezuela in

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Caracas the capital city it’s beautiful

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I mean shopping malls well-dressed

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people well-educated all of those things

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and it’s just destroyed under Chavez now

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here on the left they’re saying oh well

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it didn’t happen until after Chavez left

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well it didn’t float to the top because

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there was nobody else to steal from in

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order to keep keep afloat this this

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fictitious economy and it’s just one of

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those things about socialism socialism

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eats up the capital in an economy all

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the money it just gobbles it up and

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spits it out and gives it away where it

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doesn’t replenish itself it’s not earned

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so it’s just socialism is an

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unsustainable form of economy and you

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need capitalism to keep the economy

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going because it replenishes itself

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every year you only take enough so that

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everything can keep producing so that

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was in essence what happened so Maduro

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kind of a hapless guy he just wasn’t up

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to the task and has continued all the

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policies but one of the big money

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spenders and it’s an important item out

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of all of this and it’s something that

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we’ve discussed here before is Alba the

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the Bolivarian Alliance it was something

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that it was Hugo Chavez his baby and he

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created what is essentially Alba is a

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socialist country Organization of

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American States it’s the equivalent of

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OAS Organization of American States

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except for four socialist economy so the

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Nicaraguan and Cubans and anyone of that

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nature was was all involved now that’s

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been very useful because they’ve created

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shipping lines and television

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programming and all of those who Spanish

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with the backing of China Russia Iran in

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particular it’s big into this so that’s

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a real value which is I think part of

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why we see what’s playing out today

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playing out in the news as we go along

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why is Russia so intent on backing

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Venezuela and keeping them into place

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and just background on that you can see

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where this was moving forward in the

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United States thought that they were

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going to be able to get rid of Maduro

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and have long white dough who’s

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recognized by 50 plus countries as the

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actual proper interim president to take

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Venezuela to elections and have a full

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presidential election and which quite Oh

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would run and probably win and become

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the next part

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but that remains to be seen how that

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part plays out but so they’re trying to

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force Maduro out as a result now I will

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say once the United States recognized

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one window it’s probably the beginning

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of the end for Maduro and the socialist

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regime regime it’s just a question of

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how this plays out but so what happened

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was clearly wrong white dough had a lot

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of contacts back into the military there

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was information moving back and forth he

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was well informed I it’s very likely I

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don’t want to say to anything more than

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that but very likely that based on all

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the lists that windows organization also

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had contact back to the US he does have

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an ambassador here in the United States

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one boy doe has an ambassador here in

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Washington DC and so I mean there was

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two-way communication almost certainly

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going on and also with like I said

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looking at what the military the

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military was ready to kind of move

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against Maduro clearly that was the case

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the United States was brought to believe

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that it was true and then all the

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pressure was brought to bear Maduro was

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ready to run and this is some of what we

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had been talking about before he was

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ready to roll and get out he was on an

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airplane and the Russian stopped him and

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kept him at this military base that’s

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run by the Cubans now I’m talking about

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that a little bit there’s about 20,000

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Cubans there now that’s that’s quite a

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few people now the Cubans themselves are

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adamant that those are not soldiers

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they’re they’re saying that there are

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health care education and basic

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infrastructure workers that’s what

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they’re saying well let me take you back

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a little bit in history back in the 80s

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when Ronald Reagan was president and we

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invaded a little island called Grenada I

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won’t go into the full story but there

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was quite a few Cubans on a little Lian

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Island a very small population there are

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quite a few Cubans there too and they

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were all said by at that time to be

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exactly the same health care workers

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education workers and basic

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infrastructure workers that was exactly

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what they said at the time well when we

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invaded those were all organized armed

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organized small tactics they put

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together a couple of ambushes against

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our troops and the Marines that were

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part of the invasion and ended up

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killing and wounding

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two Americans were killed in a couple of

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these ambushes and several others were

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wounded as a result I mean they were all

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clearly trained military units now this

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20,000 that’s there that they say our

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medical healthcare and and and basic

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infrastructure building people I

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guarantee you almost all of those are

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military trained they may also have

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separate duties where they’re performing

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health duties are so on that could be

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your educational duties that may be but

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they’re still integrated units and on in

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Grenada if they found a huge weapons

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cache ready for all you know they could

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have according to US military reporting

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they could have fielded two battalions I

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mean that’s a lot of stuff and so you

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can be guaranteed that it’s precisely

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the same thing here so if it comes to

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actual boots on the ground fighting this

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is gonna be a problem because 20,000

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troops

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I think Cuba learned last time and

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that’s why you see so many of them in

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visit Venezuela because the Ministry of

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the Army’s not gonna want to fight the

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US troops they’re just not going to want

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to do it but the Cubans they’ll do

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they’ll fight so I think that’s what

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they want to do is raise the level of

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cost if the United States decides to

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intervene I think that’s precisely what

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they’re doing now again why would

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anybody be putting so much effort into

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this Russia you know Cuba’s broke they

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don’t have money to have 20,000 troops

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maintained at a base in Venezuela the

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Venezuelans don’t have money to maintain

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20,000 Cubans in there so somebody else

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is footing the bill with Russia having

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brought in advisors and so on of course

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they’re the number one

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group of people that I would be

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suspicious of and a couple things on

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that like I said I think Russia wants to

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do it because it gives them a base of

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operations so close to the United States

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and I think they would like to actually

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have a military base in Venezuela and

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this Alba organization that I mentioned

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it’s this organization of socialist

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States within Latin America so that

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gives them then a platform to branch out

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into Latin America and try to an old

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revision of say the domino theory where

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they can start picking off these Latin

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American countries and certainly Mexico

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has always had good relationships

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these sorts of groups and leftist

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philosophy and so on so and then that

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puts them on our southern border with a

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large organized multi country group that

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can do a lot to make problems for the

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United States but where the other ask

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where does Iran fit in all this though

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because I know Iran fits in there they

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are there and they’ve also got advisors

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advisors in Venezuela and some financial

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interests because they do shipping lines

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and so on the barter system that you

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typically find among socialist countries

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because they don’t have an economy that

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can afford anything so those things are

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going on too and they seem to be very

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organized in working with Venezuela that

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level of cooperation taking place

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between socialist countries socialist

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philosophy the left here in the United

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States and Canada and Europe is the same

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they are cooperating with the Islamic

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radical movement so there’s close

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cooperation that’s where Iran is

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involved in this and the tribe border

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area that people talk about which is

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kind of a no man’s own right in the

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middle of Latin America all of those

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areas are very busy hot beds of activity

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for radical Islam and different all the

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different groups are represented there

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so that’s that’s where Iran is coming in

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so it’s a real value to them but I don’t

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think with the you know the economic

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sanctions that we have on Iran I don’t

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think they’re in a position currently to

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continue to invest in that so I think

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the money is mainly coming out of being

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funded by Russia part of this – this

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Russia angle on it is is you know Venice

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was big and in narcotics now and again

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using the example of qubit something we

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see very very similar Cuba was bigger

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than our colleagues in the 80s and they

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got caught and they were just in the

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United States who are building a case in

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New York to indict Fidel Castro and so

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Fidel Castro says he got wind of that

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all this got publicized and they were

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building in the case and showed clear

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forward-looking infrared photographs of

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of aircraft coming in and dropping into

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the water next to Cuba and then picking

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up all these floating cocaine bags and

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and then putting him on speedboats and

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taking them off to hit Florida someplace

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all while that was being photographed so

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they’re building up to indict Fidel

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Castro now Fidel Castro would come to

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New York and do all of these different

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trial

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and things like that so he didn’t want

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to be indicted so what he did is he

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picked four people that were involved

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one of them was a very popular general

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named Ocho which you know Fidel Castro

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didn’t like popular other people either

0:11:14.020,0:11:18.790
so it was a good excuse of two four in

0:11:16.150,0:11:19.420
that case and he shot all four of those

0:11:18.790,0:11:20.860
people

0:11:19.420,0:11:22.810
Tony day LaGuardia and his main

0:11:20.860,0:11:25.180
assistant and General Ocho and his main

0:11:22.810,0:11:27.130
assistant shot all four bit firing squad

0:11:25.180,0:11:28.360
and then said okay we punished a guilty

0:11:27.130,0:11:30.100
were no longer you know we’re not

0:11:28.360,0:11:32.350
involved in narcotics and he changed how

0:11:30.100,0:11:34.060
all that business was done but to

0:11:32.350,0:11:36.610
suggest that millions of dollars were

0:11:34.060,0:11:38.140
pumped into the Cuban economy an island

0:11:36.610,0:11:39.910
of ten million people and Fidel Castro

0:11:38.140,0:11:41.830
didn’t know about it as ludicrous I mean

0:11:39.910,0:11:43.150
absolutely ludicrous but that was how it

0:11:41.830,0:11:45.940
played out and what do you do you know

0:11:43.150,0:11:47.620
that he didn’t do the legal case you

0:11:45.940,0:11:51.100
know executed these four people and said

0:11:47.620,0:11:52.240
okay the guilty been punished but we’re

0:11:51.100,0:11:54.970
seeing something similar play out in

0:11:52.240,0:11:56.860
Venezuela huge huge amounts of cocaine

0:11:54.970,0:11:58.270
being moved through and they’re doing

0:11:56.860,0:12:01.360
something very odd they’re flying many

0:11:58.270,0:12:03.279
of these cocaine shipments into Honduras

0:12:01.360,0:12:05.680
and they’re burning the aircraft there

0:12:03.279,0:12:07.180
in Honduras only using him once now I’ve

0:12:05.680,0:12:09.880
followed you know if you go back from

0:12:07.180,0:12:12.700
the 80s from from you know the cocaine

0:12:09.880,0:12:15.220
cowboy days when what all of us really

0:12:12.700,0:12:17.380
got started in that in in in big numbers

0:12:15.220,0:12:18.880
and big money they had never burned

0:12:17.380,0:12:19.930
those aircraft they were always making

0:12:18.880,0:12:21.880
millions of dollars they could have

0:12:19.930,0:12:24.279
always afforded to burn an aircraft

0:12:21.880,0:12:26.740
after a single use but never did until

0:12:24.279,0:12:28.720
now and it’s through Venezuela so

0:12:26.740,0:12:30.520
there’s that can the only thing that

0:12:28.720,0:12:33.130
makes any sense just Arkham’s Berets are

0:12:30.520,0:12:35.410
picking the one outcome that fits all of

0:12:33.130,0:12:37.240
this data is that somebody’s disguising

0:12:35.410,0:12:40.150
their involvement in the cocaine trade

0:12:37.240,0:12:41.529
and to disguise that involvement they

0:12:40.150,0:12:42.670
have to burn these aircraft because they

0:12:41.529,0:12:45.040
don’t want these aircraft getting

0:12:42.670,0:12:47.740
captured or spotted you know afterwards

0:12:45.040,0:12:52.570
flying back so they have to destroy them

0:12:47.740,0:12:55.330
going there now that to me is is an

0:12:52.570,0:12:57.130
indication that somebody like Russia who

0:12:55.330,0:12:58.900
has plenty of aircraft to throw out the

0:12:57.130,0:13:00.459
problem he’s flying him in bringing him

0:12:58.900,0:13:02.680
to Cuba flying them across over to

0:13:00.459,0:13:04.300
Venezuela from there and and then using

0:13:02.680,0:13:06.130
them in the cocaine trade and it burns

0:13:04.300,0:13:07.360
them on the spot and they do make a lot

0:13:06.130,0:13:09.370
of money but that means Russia is making

0:13:07.360,0:13:10.959
a lot of money out of this so I think

0:13:09.370,0:13:12.940
that’s the other aspect of it big

0:13:10.959,0:13:14.000
political ambitions that they can use in

0:13:12.940,0:13:15.560
Latin America and the

0:13:14.000,0:13:19.610
money that they’re making in the cocaine

0:13:15.560,0:13:22.550
trade the the number two behind Maduro

0:13:19.610,0:13:24.230
has been implicated many times in our

0:13:22.550,0:13:25.670
car in the narcotics trade so that’s the

0:13:24.230,0:13:27.920
guy running it from Maduro and the

0:13:25.670,0:13:29.630
Venezuelans and he’s not doing it on his

0:13:27.920,0:13:31.130
own clearly in conjunction with the big

0:13:29.630,0:13:33.920
narco traffickers out of Colombia

0:13:31.130,0:13:35.420
clearly done with Cuban Russia he’s

0:13:33.920,0:13:37.310
using a lot of the methodology that the

0:13:35.420,0:13:39.380
Cubans sort of blazed the trail for if

0:13:37.310,0:13:42.290
you will so I think that’s the Nexus I

0:13:39.380,0:13:45.440
think they’re making money and it lets

0:13:42.290,0:13:47.330
them finance what they’re doing there so

0:13:45.440,0:13:49.520
it’s well worth having for them at very

0:13:47.330,0:13:50.980
little cost and that takes us back to

0:13:49.520,0:13:53.810
what we discussed at the beginning

0:13:50.980,0:13:55.580
Maduro was on an airplane ready to take

0:13:53.810,0:13:57.950
off and leave was gonna go to Cuba

0:13:55.580,0:13:59.240
probably onward to Spain from there but

0:13:57.950,0:14:01.130
he was gonna go to get on an airplane

0:13:59.240,0:14:02.780
and leave now he was stopped and wasn’t

0:14:01.130,0:14:06.110
allowed to leave or talked out of

0:14:02.780,0:14:07.940
leaving by the Russians so the Russians

0:14:06.110,0:14:09.680
have taken this whole situation where

0:14:07.940,0:14:11.330
the United States clearly we thought it

0:14:09.680,0:14:14.120
was in hand and that we were going to

0:14:11.330,0:14:16.670
get rid of Maduro and they jumped it up

0:14:14.120,0:14:17.450
a whole new at a whole new level to a

0:14:16.670,0:14:19.070
whole new level

0:14:17.450,0:14:21.500
and that’s that’s where we stand right

0:14:19.070,0:14:23.570
now there’s there’s Maduro has asked for

0:14:21.500,0:14:25.370
a military uprising it has not taken

0:14:23.570,0:14:27.589
place there have been riots in the

0:14:25.370,0:14:29.300
street the Maduro regime is running

0:14:27.589,0:14:31.040
people over in the streets with armored

0:14:29.300,0:14:33.170
vehicles they’re shooting some people in

0:14:31.040,0:14:35.690
the streets certainly they’re willing to

0:14:33.170,0:14:37.220
kill local population there’s just no

0:14:35.690,0:14:39.620
question now who is driving those

0:14:37.220,0:14:41.120
vehicles it’s probably the Cuban troops

0:14:39.620,0:14:42.740
that are that are doing a lot of the

0:14:41.120,0:14:44.810
actual killing and not so much the

0:14:42.740,0:14:45.830
actual Venezuelan troops because they’re

0:14:44.810,0:14:48.710
not going to want to shoot their own

0:14:45.830,0:14:50.680
people so I think we expect we may be

0:14:48.710,0:14:53.330
seeing some of that in France actually

0:14:50.680,0:14:54.680
uh yeah you know I wouldn’t be surprised

0:14:53.330,0:14:57.230
the problems are starting to become

0:14:54.680,0:14:58.850
really serious in France and I think

0:14:57.230,0:15:01.100
we’ve seen the yellow vest movement

0:14:58.850,0:15:02.870
start to push and push and push harder

0:15:01.100,0:15:07.100
and harder and harder and we’re starting

0:15:02.870,0:15:10.430
to see essentially a brexit you know

0:15:07.100,0:15:12.260
kind of consensus start to rise in some

0:15:10.430,0:15:14.170
of these other countries and there are

0:15:12.260,0:15:17.060
other European Union countries that are

0:15:14.170,0:15:20.930
seriously starting to discuss leaving

0:15:17.060,0:15:22.790
the European Union so I would say storm

0:15:20.930,0:15:25.410
clouds on the horizon in Western Europe

0:15:22.790,0:15:28.079
for the for the EU

0:15:25.410,0:15:30.929
and they used just its consolidating and

0:15:28.079,0:15:33.239
hardening its position as as a socialist

0:15:30.929,0:15:34.649
entities and so I think the people are

0:15:33.239,0:15:37.789
starting to react to that and they just

0:15:34.649,0:15:40.349
burrow down into the goofiest stuff like

0:15:37.789,0:15:42.119
the size motor you can have on a vacuum

0:15:40.349,0:15:44.609
cleaner and a hair dryer

0:15:42.119,0:15:45.599
blow dryer for a woman’s hair and things

0:15:44.609,0:15:47.369
like that you know they’re they’re

0:15:45.599,0:15:49.379
brewing down so and getting these so

0:15:47.369,0:15:51.749
light motored that they can’t really be

0:15:49.379,0:15:53.639
used to do with their purposes you know

0:15:51.749,0:15:56.609
they’re too weak to back you actually

0:15:53.639,0:15:57.929
clean the house and and they’re doing it

0:15:56.609,0:15:59.579
because they want to even use less

0:15:57.929,0:16:03.359
energy and all of that but it’s the

0:15:59.579,0:16:06.689
excuse yeah what’s your prediction for

0:16:03.359,0:16:08.129
Venezuela though Venice was tough I

0:16:06.689,0:16:11.159
think the United States is committed now

0:16:08.129,0:16:14.129
so now we’re going to see the we’re

0:16:11.159,0:16:17.579
gonna see how hardened we are I think if

0:16:14.129,0:16:18.899
it were up to me and being experienced

0:16:17.579,0:16:22.049
in this sort of thing I think what I

0:16:18.899,0:16:23.939
would try to do is defect military unit

0:16:22.049,0:16:26.189
units over to walk and wydo have

0:16:23.939,0:16:28.229
military units on the ground claim

0:16:26.189,0:16:30.539
control of the situation and ask for air

0:16:28.229,0:16:32.519
support from the United States put a

0:16:30.539,0:16:34.289
carrier task force off the coast and

0:16:32.519,0:16:36.839
then come to the aid through air

0:16:34.289,0:16:39.239
superiority of those Venezuelan troops

0:16:36.839,0:16:40.919
on the ground to help them I think

0:16:39.239,0:16:43.109
that’s the best-case scenario of how

0:16:40.919,0:16:45.299
this plays out the Russians have

0:16:43.109,0:16:50.069
hardened the position there of Maduro

0:16:45.299,0:16:51.720
the you know the dictator of venezuela

0:16:50.069,0:16:55.369
right now who does not have popular

0:16:51.720,0:16:57.389
support but he’s got all the guns and

0:16:55.369,0:16:59.939
venezuela was one of those countries

0:16:57.389,0:17:02.489
that that banned guns in private hands

0:16:59.939,0:17:04.470
ten years ago or so under who Chavez

0:17:02.489,0:17:05.879
because they all knew what was coming

0:17:04.470,0:17:08.189
you know they knew the money was going

0:17:05.879,0:17:11.579
to run out this was all cold calculated

0:17:08.189,0:17:13.740
stuff and so they took away all of the

0:17:11.579,0:17:16.230
arms from private private possession and

0:17:13.740,0:17:17.730
this is why and now you’re seeing the

0:17:16.230,0:17:19.379
results of it and that’s why innocent

0:17:17.730,0:17:22.980
people in the street you don’t like the

0:17:19.379,0:17:25.289
system and all voted it down are now

0:17:22.980,0:17:27.209
basically held hostage and and killed it

0:17:25.289,0:17:29.039
as a whim there’s not much they can do

0:17:27.209,0:17:30.360
because they just don’t have guns and

0:17:29.039,0:17:32.129
ammunition to fight back or defend

0:17:30.360,0:17:34.320
themselves so that’s a historical

0:17:32.129,0:17:35.200
constant so I think one of the one of

0:17:34.320,0:17:37.539
the one of the

0:17:35.200,0:17:41.279
critics one of the common things critics

0:17:37.539,0:17:43.630
of American policy might say is that

0:17:41.279,0:17:47.350
they’re afraid that they would see a

0:17:43.630,0:17:50.309
Russian American direct confrontation

0:17:47.350,0:17:54.159
over Venezuela do you see that happening

0:17:50.309,0:17:55.779
no not really I have I’ve heard stuff

0:17:54.159,0:17:57.610
like that but it’s not it’s not what I

0:17:55.779,0:18:00.850
consider at least a mainstream response

0:17:57.610,0:18:02.529
I mean it’s conceivable I mean it’s

0:18:00.850,0:18:04.179
theoretically possible I mean the earth

0:18:02.529,0:18:05.919
being destroyed by a meteorite tomorrow

0:18:04.179,0:18:08.590
at midnight is also theoretically

0:18:05.919,0:18:10.330
possible but it just doesn’t mean it’s

0:18:08.590,0:18:12.490
gonna happen so those those theoretical

0:18:10.330,0:18:14.649
discussions are kind of a I don’t know

0:18:12.490,0:18:16.960
it’s not yeah you can say it and not be

0:18:14.649,0:18:18.610
a bald-faced liar completely but it’s

0:18:16.960,0:18:22.929
just not something that’s that’s that’s

0:18:18.610,0:18:24.580
highly likely it’s Russia’s supply lines

0:18:22.929,0:18:27.460
and all of that are just so far away I

0:18:24.580,0:18:29.350
mean maybe if push comes to shove and

0:18:27.460,0:18:31.840
say the scenario I was discussing where

0:18:29.350,0:18:34.240
air support comes in that that

0:18:31.840,0:18:36.940
connection starts to be kind of tenuous

0:18:34.240,0:18:38.860
if there’s Russians in Venezuelan tanks

0:18:36.940,0:18:41.110
roaring up and down the streets trying

0:18:38.860,0:18:44.380
to fight back at the venezuelan troops

0:18:41.110,0:18:48.100
that are supporting bueno along the

0:18:44.380,0:18:49.809
window then you know you know american

0:18:48.100,0:18:51.309
planes come in and just take all those

0:18:49.809,0:18:53.889
out you have Russian troops got killed

0:18:51.309,0:18:56.139
but they were in Venezuelan tanks so you

0:18:53.889,0:18:58.210
know that’s that would be the area where

0:18:56.139,0:19:01.240
confrontation would take place and is

0:18:58.210,0:19:02.860
Russia gonna go to war over that back in

0:19:01.240,0:19:04.899
Europe are they gonna roll tanks into

0:19:02.860,0:19:07.539
Europe are they gonna fire nukes at the

0:19:04.899,0:19:09.010
US I mean what would be the method where

0:19:07.539,0:19:10.809
they would strike back I just don’t see

0:19:09.010,0:19:13.299
any of those things being very likely

0:19:10.809,0:19:15.760
all right for them to start I can’t help

0:19:13.299,0:19:18.070
but think that the Russians should be

0:19:15.760,0:19:20.470
pretty satisfied with Crimea which was

0:19:18.070,0:19:22.299
there near far and I would think that

0:19:20.470,0:19:24.880
they would say you know I could kind of

0:19:22.299,0:19:29.409
get America not wanting us in there near

0:19:24.880,0:19:30.760
far but I mean maybe I’m hey I’m sorry I

0:19:29.409,0:19:32.799
was gonna say we’ve talked about Ukraine

0:19:30.760,0:19:35.289
before I think what was done to Ukraine

0:19:32.799,0:19:38.019
was a travesty Island personally I’d

0:19:35.289,0:19:40.690
like to see support go back into Ukraine

0:19:38.019,0:19:42.279
and and and take this dance over to the

0:19:40.690,0:19:45.010
Ukraine and face the Russians there

0:19:42.279,0:19:46.240
which Trump might be willing to do that

0:19:45.010,0:19:48.039
we’ll see but I don’t know what his

0:19:46.240,0:19:48.999
policy advisors are saying on that

0:19:48.039,0:19:50.589
although

0:19:48.999,0:19:53.559
John Bolton’s guys act together he’s a

0:19:50.589,0:19:55.899
very smart man so well we’ll see what he

0:19:53.559,0:19:58.569
does not on the Ukraine front but here I

0:19:55.899,0:20:00.189
the other mainstream opposition view

0:19:58.569,0:20:01.959
that I hear a lot is well then what

0:20:00.189,0:20:03.819
happens after we’re bogged down in

0:20:01.959,0:20:06.279
Venezuela for decades and decades and

0:20:03.819,0:20:07.839
you know in another generation and we’re

0:20:06.279,0:20:10.359
gonna have to be there and cost money in

0:20:07.839,0:20:12.009
love of Allah well I I don’t see that as

0:20:10.359,0:20:14.559
being a very realistic argument either

0:20:12.009,0:20:16.389
it just it’s loop it’s less likely than

0:20:14.559,0:20:19.749
it is more likely to play out that way

0:20:16.389,0:20:21.789
and why well 20 years ago Venezuela had

0:20:19.749,0:20:23.079
one of the largest the largest economy

0:20:21.789,0:20:25.989
in Latin America and one of the largest

0:20:23.079,0:20:27.729
economies in the world so they just need

0:20:25.989,0:20:30.009
the expertise to come back to help

0:20:27.729,0:20:32.019
develop oil fields and then start to

0:20:30.009,0:20:33.639
build out the economy from there you

0:20:32.019,0:20:36.189
know everybody who’s thirty years old

0:20:33.639,0:20:38.559
and older in Venezuela was alive back

0:20:36.189,0:20:40.919
when the economy was normal so all your

0:20:38.559,0:20:43.659
working adults I mean your main working

0:20:40.919,0:20:46.179
population you can say is between say

0:20:43.659,0:20:49.419
thirty to sixty or thirty to sixty five

0:20:46.179,0:20:51.399
all of those guys knew what a real

0:20:49.419,0:20:54.279
economy was like so that expertise is

0:20:51.399,0:20:56.289
mostly there the planet e there’s a big

0:20:54.279,0:20:58.719
expat community that would go back in an

0:20:56.289,0:21:00.159
instant yes that looks exactly where I

0:20:58.719,0:21:02.319
was going next with this you’d have a

0:21:00.159,0:21:05.019
large expat community that would gladly

0:21:02.319,0:21:06.669
go back and all of the big oil companies

0:21:05.019,0:21:10.479
that were in Venezuela before that got

0:21:06.669,0:21:12.039
chased out by the Chavez socialist

0:21:10.479,0:21:14.649
regime those guys are still there

0:21:12.039,0:21:16.329
they’re mostly still around so the

0:21:14.649,0:21:16.839
expertise is out there can come back

0:21:16.329,0:21:20.349
quickly

0:21:16.839,0:21:22.809
most of the democratic ideals and

0:21:20.349,0:21:25.089
economic views and expertise that’s

0:21:22.809,0:21:26.679
required it’s all in place so yeah I

0:21:25.089,0:21:28.269
mean there’s gonna take some time to

0:21:26.679,0:21:30.219
turn it around but the very first thing

0:21:28.269,0:21:32.529
would be going to have elections you

0:21:30.219,0:21:34.419
then set up a democratic economy and a

0:21:32.529,0:21:36.729
Democratic president and a political

0:21:34.419,0:21:38.379
system and I think things would come

0:21:36.729,0:21:41.139
roaring back pretty quickly so I just

0:21:38.379,0:21:43.059
really all of that naysaying is all

0:21:41.139,0:21:45.519
theoretical there’s very little based on

0:21:43.059,0:21:48.429
fact they’re not it’s it’s it’s not

0:21:45.519,0:21:50.739
countries that have been under like

0:21:48.429,0:21:54.929
Romania or something that was under the

0:21:50.739,0:21:58.269
Soviet yoke or well socialist yoke under

0:21:54.929,0:22:00.519
their own regime but still you know for

0:21:58.269,0:22:01.880
70 or 80 years where all of that

0:22:00.519,0:22:04.040
expertise was then gone

0:22:01.880,0:22:05.510
spend a much shorter period so there

0:22:04.040,0:22:08.090
they’re just not it’s just not that

0:22:05.510,0:22:09.530
similar to one of those hard socialist

0:22:08.090,0:22:11.060
countries it’s been socialist forever

0:22:09.530,0:22:13.310
and they don’t have any economic

0:22:11.060,0:22:15.800
education and what they taught was not

0:22:13.310,0:22:18.470
economics what they taught was social

0:22:15.800,0:22:20.240
economics political economics so they’re

0:22:18.470,0:22:22.520
not they don’t know what it real

0:22:20.240,0:22:25.070
economics is they call it economics but

0:22:22.520,0:22:28.370
it’s political theory it’s not economics

0:22:25.070,0:22:30.320
so Venezuela doesn’t have that so I just

0:22:28.370,0:22:32.420
I don’t see that criticism as being very

0:22:30.320,0:22:35.600
realistic I got to agree having been to

0:22:32.420,0:22:38.870
Venezuela myself about a dozen times

0:22:35.600,0:22:40.730
before before Chavez I think your

0:22:38.870,0:22:42.260
assessments exactly right Brad Johnson

0:22:40.730,0:22:44.630
thank you very much for taking the time

0:22:42.260,0:22:47.060
to update us it’s an important story and

0:22:44.630,0:22:48.350
of course we’ve learned what if we’ve

0:22:47.060,0:22:52.220
learned anything in the last few years

0:22:48.350,0:22:53.960
we’ve learned that the entire media

0:22:52.220,0:22:55.550
structure of the Western world is

0:22:53.960,0:22:58.370
determined not to let us know anything

0:22:55.550,0:22:59.930
real or true so it’s very much

0:22:58.370,0:23:02.870
appreciated when we can speak some of

0:22:59.930,0:23:05.480
that information samizdat style through

0:23:02.870,0:23:10.570
to the public we’ll catch up again in

0:23:05.480,0:23:10.570
another subject soon all right thank you

0:23:45.330,0:23:48.500
[Music]

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